SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|MIKE GUNDY|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
OKLAHOMA STATE26 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#384 BC / 22
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AOREGON STATE—W 52-36595151+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMCNEESE—W 56-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ATULSA—W 40-21314444+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ATEXAS#25L 30-36968181-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HKANSAS STATE—W 26-13486666+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ATEXAS TECH—L 35-45576060+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HBAYLOR#13L 27-45758787-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AIOWA STATE—W 34-27608282-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HTCU—W 34-27796868+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HKANSAS—W 31-13472121+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AWEST VIRGINIA—W 20-13712525+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HOKLAHOMA#7L 16-34959595-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DRU BROWNQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
SHAUN TAYLORQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
SPENCER SANDERSQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
29
BRENDAN COSTELLOQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
PEYTON THOMPSONQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
LD BROWNRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
DEONDRICK GLASSRB FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
26
MICAH COOPERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
DEZMON JACKSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
30
CHUBA HUBBARDRB JURET
★3—00%——
28
JAHMYL JETERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
MBARI SNODDYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
90
BRADEN CASSITYFB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
ANDRE WASHINGTONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
38
JAKE SCHULTZFB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
LD BROWNRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JORDAN MCCRAYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
BRAYDON JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
TYRELL ALEXANDERWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
LC GREENWOODWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
CJ MOOREWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
LANGSTON ANDERSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
89
JELANI WOODSTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
5
LANDON WOLFWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
DILLON STONERWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
DAYTON METCALFTE SERET
UNR—00%——
2
TYLAN WALLACEWR SERET
★4—00%——
38
JACOB MORRISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
PATRICK MCKAUFMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
JONATHAN SHEPHERDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
TAJE WILLIAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
GABE SIMPSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
GRAYSON BOOMERTE SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
81
COLE GOODNIGHTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
CADE CAVENDERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
DREYSON WATTERSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GRAYSON BOOMERHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
DEONDRICK GLASSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
LANGSTON ANDERSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TRACE FORDHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
BRENDAN COSTELLOHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
COLE BIRMINGHAMHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAYDEN JERNIGANHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KAMRYN FARRARHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
PRESTON WILSONHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
TAYLOR MITERKOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN MCCLESKEYTULANEWRUNRUNR
DARRION DANIELSNEBRASKADTUNRUNR
J.D. KINGGEORGIA SOUTHERNRB★2UNR
JORDAN BRAILFORDNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
JUSTICE HILLNFL DRAFT R4RB★3—
TREY CARTERELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
LARRY WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
BRITTON ABBOTTELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
TAYLOR CORNELIUSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MATT HOCKETTELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8577COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST31% BACK31th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG31% BACK31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE