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HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|MIKE GUNDY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
OKLAHOMA STATE38 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
10%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#295 BC / 17
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.6-5.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.4
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE48
PERFORMANCE48
TALENT65
CONTINUITY10
DEFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT72
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 58-44181515+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HARIZONA STATE—W 34-17723838+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 63-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 1ABAYLOR—W 36-25717878-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HTEXAS TECH—W 41-31696969+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ATCU#2L 40-43779696-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HTEXAS#25W 41-34969595-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AKANSAS STATE#14L 0-48539494-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AKANSAS—L 16-37505454+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HIOWA STATE—W 20-14546060+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AOKLAHOMA—L 13-28948686-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HWEST VIRGINIA—L 19-24695252+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HWISCONSIN—L 17-24826868+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL75PERF61RET78ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
SPENCER SANDERSQB SERET
★4★38970%+7FELL
19
GARRET RANGELQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★36222%-38FELL
12
GUNNAR GUNDYQB SORET
UNR—458%-30—
18
GAVYNN PARKERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB59TAL47PERF59RET68ROTATIONn=5 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DOMINIC RICHARDSONRB SERET
★3★39140%+9HELD
OLLIE GORDON IIRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—7420%-13—
5
JADEN NIXONRB SERET
★3★37319%+24HELD
4
DEONDRE JACKSONRB SONO SNAPS
★4—559%-38—
90
BRADEN CASSITYFB SERET
★3—527%——
1
BRAYLIN PRESLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★4★3442%—FELL
38
JAKE SCHULTZFB SERET
★2—424%——
5
ZACH MIDDLETONRB SORET
★3—171%-48—
47
LUKE MCENDOOFB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
25
ANDRE WASHINGTONRB JURET
★4—00%——
24
CJ BROWNRB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE56TAL66PERF56RET84ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
BRENNAN PRESLEYWR SERET
★3—9720%+16—
9
BRYSON GREENWR SERET
★3★39620%+20HELD
7
JP RICHARDSONWR SERET
★3—9318%-12—
8
BRAYDON JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—8414%+22—
12
STEPHON JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3719%+13HELD
10
RASHOD OWENSWR SERET
★3—667%+4—
5
JADEN BRAYWR SERET
★3★3564%+33HELD
18
LANGSTON ANDERSONWR SERET
★4★4554%-41HELD
86
TALYN SHETTRONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3411%—FELL
83
CALE CABBINESSWR SERET
UNR—371%——
81
CJ TATEWR SERET
UNR—371%——
82
QUINTON STEWARTTE SERET
★3—32100%——
13
PEYTON KRAMERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
BLAINE GREENWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
32
CLAYTON BARBOURWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
MASON GILKEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
TABRY SHETTRONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
VANCE HOOPERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
RYLAN MCQUARTERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
RASHAD DIXONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL48TAL65PERF48RET26n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL44TAL59PERF44RET82n=11 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB49TAL77PERF49RET51n=5 · 11 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB49TAL76PERF49RET95n=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TALYN SHETTRONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
OLLIE GORDON IIHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CJ BROWNHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
BRAYLIN PRESLEYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
GARRET RANGELHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DESEAN BROWNHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
CAMERON EPPSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
STEPHON JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MASON GILKEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LANDON DEANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYDEN JERNIGANMISSOURIDL★3UNR
SHANE ILLINGWORTHNEVADAQB★4★3
DEZMON JACKSONSAM HOUSTONRB★3UNR
TANNER MCCALISTEROHIO STATES★3UNR
KAMRYN FARRARSMULB★3★3
JARRICK BERNARD-CONVERSELSUCB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN HOLMESELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
DEVIN HARPERELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
DAVONTAVEAN MARTINELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ISRAEL ANTWINEELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8779COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR26%26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST95%95th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE