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HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|MIKE GUNDY|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
OKLAHOMA STATE69 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
62FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#560 BC / 20
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.4
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE62
PERFORMANCE62
TALENT63
CONTINUITY81
DEFENSE20
PERFORMANCE20
TALENT60
CONTINUITY81
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSOUTH DAKOTA STATE—W 44-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HARKANSAS—W 39-31828383-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ATULSA—W 45-103355+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HUTAH—L 19-22777171-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AKANSAS STATE—L 20-42548787-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HWEST VIRGINIA—L 14-38615252-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ABYU#13L 35-38448888-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ABAYLOR—L 28-38697272-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HARIZONA STATE#7L 21-42797474-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ATCU—L 13-38808282-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HTEXAS TECH—L 48-56736060-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ACOLORADO#25L 0-52787171-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL22PERF69RET83ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ALAN BOWMANQB SERET
★3★38275%+18HELD
16
MAEALIUAKI SMITHQB SONO SNAPS
★3★35817%-15HELD
19
GARRET RANGELQB JURET
★4★3428%-45FELL
6
ZANE FLORESQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
GARRET WILSONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB56TAL76PERF56RET83ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
OLLIE GORDON IIRB JURET
★4—9661%+7—
10
SESI VAILAHIRB JURET
★3★36917%-43HELD
24
TRENT HOWLANDRB SEPORTAL · INDIANA
★3★36011%+21HELD
20
RODNEY FIELDS JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3455%+20HELD
38
JAKE SCHULTZFB SERET
★2—445%-26—
47
LUKE MCENDOOFB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
48
BRYCE DRUMMONDFB JURET
★3—00%——
37
SETH SWIRCZYNSKIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
25
HUDSON DEVINSRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
28
JADEN ALLEN-HENDRIXRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
HOLDEN THOMPSONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
C.J. WILLIAMSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL67PERF63RET67ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
BRENNAN PRESLEYWR SERET
★3—9629%+20—
1
DE'ZHAUN STRIBLINGWR SERET
★3★49125%+22ROSE
10
RASHOD OWENSWR SERET
★3—8823%+14—
40
JOSH FORDTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★37759%-30HELD
86
TYLER FOSTERTE SEPORTAL · OHIO
★3★36333%-10HELD
86
TALYN SHETTRONWR JURET
★4★3607%+21FELL
93
AYO SHOTOMIDE-KINGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3575%-53EMERGED
5
DA'WAIN LOFTONWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★3★3534%+9HELD
6
GAVIN FREEMANWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★3★3483%-5HELD
83
CALE CABBINESSWR SERET
UNR—463%-42—
82
QUINTON STEWARTTE SERET
★3—408%——
81
CAMRON HEARDWR SORET
★3★3301%—HELD
85
TYKIE ANDREWSWR FRRET
★3★3201%—HELD
7
TRE' GRIFFITHSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
0
KYLER PEARSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
TABRY SHETTRONTE SORET
★3—00%——
84
MASON GILKEYWR SORET
★3—00%——
31
JAXON DEASONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
3
TY WALLSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
23
JALEN POPEWR FRRET
★3—00%——
7
BRADEN BAIZEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
42
DOMINIC GREINTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
CUTTER GREENEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
HESTON THOMPSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
MARCUS DOCKINS JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JOE BISSOTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL78TAL68PERF78RET84n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL44TAL66PERF44RET67n=7 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB66TAL71PERF66RET99n=6 · 11 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB43TAL51PERF43RET84n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE' GRIFFITHSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MAEALIUAKI SMITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
LANDYN CLEVELANDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CALEB HACKLEMANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
LUKE WEBBHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WILLIE NELSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TEMERRICK JOHNSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
RODNEY FIELDS JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JACOBI OLIPHANT JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LADAINIAN FIELDSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OBI EZEIGBOGANNONEDGEUNR★3
TYLER FOSTEROHIOTE★3★3
AJ GREENARKANSASRBUNR★3
TRENT HOWLANDINDIANARB★3★3
KOBE HYLTONUTEPSUNR★3
DA'WAIN LOFTONVIRGINIA TECHWR★3★3
GAVIN FREEMANOKLAHOMAWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ MCKINNEYCOLORADOCB★3★4
JADEN BRAYWEST VIRGINIAWR★3★3
BLAINE GREENSTEPHEN F. AUSTINWR★3★3
JADEN NIXONWESTERN MICHIGANRB★3★3
DONNY STEPHENSBOWLING GREENLB★3UNR
JORDAN REAGANMARSHALLCB★3★3
NICK SESSIONNEW MEXICO STATES★3★3
XAVIER BENSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
ANTHONY GOODLOWELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
JOSIAH JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES23%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS34%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#56NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8667COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
811 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR83%83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE