SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OLD DOMINION›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|BOBBY WILDER|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
OLD DOMINION121 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
19FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1240 BC / 18
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.2-8.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-11.0
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HUALBANY—W 31-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AMASSACHUSETTS—W 17-7302121-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HNORTH CAROLINA—L 23-53805757-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AVIRGINIA TECH#24L 0-38768484-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 28-58446161-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AMARSHALL—L 3-35423333-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 31-35203131-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANORTH TEXAS—L 38-45133333-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCHARLOTTE—W 6-0911+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 37-30202020-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HRICE—W 24-212522+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 10-41243131-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET6NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
BLAKE LARUSSAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
JORDAN HOYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
DRAYTON ARNOLDQB SORET
★3—00%——
4
STONE SMARTTQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
GEMONTA JACKSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
JOSH MARRINERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
RAY LAWRYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
28
MALIK FULLERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
23
BRANDON SIMMONSRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
JEREMY COXRB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
BRANDON SINCLAIRRB SORET
★2—00%——
1
KESEAN STRONGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
ROBERT WASHINGTONRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
CASEY PERKINSRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
LAMAR LUCASRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
HASAAN PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
STEVEN WILLIAMSWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
KEVIN TODDWR —RET
UNR—00%——
6
DEANDRE WOODSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
MELVIN VAUGHNTE —RET
UNR—00%——
3
MARQUES LITTLEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
5
ERI'REON HAYESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
30
JAKE HERSLOWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
ISAIAH HARPERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JONATHAN DUHARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
TRAVIS FULGHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JUSTIN COOPERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
NIJEE COXTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
NOAH ELLISONWR SORET
★3—00%——
10
DARRELL BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MARCUS JOYNERTE SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
17
SCOTT MCCLUNEYWR SORET
★2—00%——
30
CONOR KRINGELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
ISAIAH WHITEWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
KEVIN TODD JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
AMARI COLBERTWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CASEY PERKINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TRACY WHITEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KEISEAN WILSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
AMARI COLBERTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAMERON MULLERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
JACK MILLERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
MARCUS HAYNESHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
JAMES VALLEHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
JARIQUE MOOREHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
STEVEN WILLIAMS JR.HS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AARON YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
TJ RICKSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ZACH PASCALNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DAVID WASHINGTONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
C.J. BRADSHAWNOT LISTEDSUNR—
SCOTT WIGGINSNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ANTHONY WILSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JUDE BRENYANOT LISTEDDEUNR—
RASHAAD COWARDNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
SHULER BENTLEYNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#124NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7810COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE