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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OLE MISS›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|MATT LUKE|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
OLE MISS53 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#313 BC / 19
BC RATIO
45%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 47-27341717+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HUT MARTIN—W 45-23————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16ACALIFORNIA—L 16-27644242+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AALABAMA#1L 3-66100100100-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AAUBURN#10L 23-44959494-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HVANDERBILT—W 57-35674545+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HLSU#18L 24-40969292-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HARKANSAS—L 37-38835151+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AKENTUCKY—W 37-34775252+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HLOUISIANA—W 50-22161010+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HTEXAS A&M—L 24-31897272+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMISSISSIPPI STATE#19W 31-28818686-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET29NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SHEA PATTERSONQB SERET
★5—00%——
10
JORDAN TA'AMUQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
GRANT RESTMEYERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
GRAHAM LINDMANQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
ERIC SWINNEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
JORDAN WILKINSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
23
EUGENE BRAZLEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
25
D.K. BUFORDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
KESHUN WELLSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JERRY JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
SCOTTIE PHILLIPSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
CALE LUKEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
OCTAVIOUS COOLEYTE SERET
★4—00%——
13
BRAYLON SANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
VAN JEFFERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
TY QUICKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
11
MARKELL PACKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
28
D'VAUGHN PENNAMONTE SERET
★4—00%——
5
DAMARKUS LODGEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
DAWSON KNOXTE JURET
UNR—00%——
1
A.J. BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
14
D.K. METCALFWR SORET
★4—00%——
16
TRE NIXONWR SERET
★4—00%——
85
ALEX WEBERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JASON PELLERINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JOSH RICKETTSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JARED FARLOWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JONATHAN HESSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
DONTARIO DRUMMONDWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
GARRETT STYLESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
TRÉ NIXONWR —RET
★4—00%——
16
JACOB MATHISTE —RET
★4—00%——
16
GABE ANGELTE —RET
★4—00%——
81
TREY BLEDSOEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
FLOYD ALLENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
D.D. BOWIEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CHESTER GRAVESHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
BREON DIXONHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
MOHAMED SANOGOHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
TONY GRAYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KAM WHITEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRAYLON SANDERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSH CLARKEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AJ HARRISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAVONTA PAYTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAY RAY SMITHSAMFORDLBUNRUNR
CHAD KELLYNFL DRAFT R7QBUNR—
EVAN ENGRAMNFL DRAFT R1TEUNR—
DERRICK JONESNFL DRAFT R6DBUNR—
D.J. JONESNFL DRAFT R6DTUNR—
ROMMEL MAGEONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TEMARIO STRONGNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOHN YOUNGBLOODNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ISSAC GROSSNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
NATHAN NOBLENOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8634COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST37% BACK37th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG37% BACK37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR29%29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE