SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OLE MISS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|MATT LUKE|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
OLE MISS46 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#226 BC / 27
BC RATIO
23%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs6.0-6.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMEMPHIS#17L 10-15498888-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HARKANSAS—W 31-17821717+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HSE LOUISIANA—W 40-29————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21HCALIFORNIA—L 20-28644343+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AALABAMA#8L 31-591009898-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HVANDERBILT—W 31-6631919+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AMISSOURI—L 27-38727171-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTEXAS A&M—L 17-24928585-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AAUBURN#14L 14-20919494-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 41-3855+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HLSU#1L 37-58979999-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 20-21846262-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
GRANT TISDALEQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
2
MATT CORRALQB SORET
★4—00%——
10
JOHN RHYS PLUMLEEQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
12
KINKEAD DENTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
GRANT RESTMEYERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET94NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
KESHUN WELLSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
SCOTTIE PHILLIPSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
SNOOP CONNERRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
ISAIAH WOULLARDRB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
9
JERRION EALYRB SONO SNAPS
★5—00%——
32
JERRY JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
CAMPBELL KLEINRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JONATHAN MINGOWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
JASON PELLERINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
OCTAVIOUS COOLEYTE SERET
★4—00%——
13
BRAYLON SANDERSWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
ELIJAH MOOREWR JURET
★4—00%——
13
DANNIS JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
5
DEMARCUS GREGORYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
D'VAUGHN PENNAMONTE SERET
★4—00%——
11
DONTARIO DRUMMONDWR SERET
★2—00%——
JADON JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
JOSH RICKETTSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JARED FARLOWWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
ALEX FANIELTE SORET
★3—00%——
83
DRAKE BECKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JACOB CARTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
JONATHAN HESSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
SAM MURPHEYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
NEVIN WELLSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
CASEY KELLYTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
JACK WHITEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
JORDAN JERNIGANWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
BRICE JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
SELLERS SHYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
SAM MURPHEYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
15
OCTAVIUS COOLEYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JERRION EALYHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
DANNIS JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JONATHAN MINGOHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DARIUS THOMASHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
GRANT TISDALEHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
JOHN RHYS PLUMLEEHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
JADON JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEANTRE PRINCEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NICK BROEKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LD COXHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM ORDWAYUT MARTINDBUNRUNR
KEN WEBSTERNFL DRAFT R7DBUNR—
DAWSON KNOXNFL DRAFT R3TEUNR—
A.J. BROWNNFL DRAFT R2WR★4—
D.K. METCALFNFL DRAFT R2WR★4—
MONTRELL CUSTISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ZEDRICK WOODSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MARKEL WINTERSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
DETRIC BING-DUKESELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
VICTOR EVANSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#22NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8769COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST33% BACK33th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG33% BACK33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE