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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OREGON›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARIO CRISTOBAL|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
OREGON#22 AP 30 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
95FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#619 BC / 24
BC RATIO
53%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.1-4.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.9
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HFRESNO STATE—W 31-24417676-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11AOHIO STATE#6W 35-28999999-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HSTONY BROOK—W 48-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25HARIZONA—W 41-19511414+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ASTANFORD—L 24-31831919+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HCALIFORNIA—W 24-17724848+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AUCLA—W 34-31846969+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HCOLORADO—W 52-29662020+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AWASHINGTON—W 26-16883636+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HWASHINGTON STATE—W 38-24565757+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AUTAH#12L 7-38788888-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HOREGON STATE—W 38-29666666+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AUTAH#12L 10-38788888-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET12NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
ANTHONY BROWNQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
JAY BUTTERFIELDQB SORET
★4★400%—HELD
16
BRADLEY YAFFEQB SORET
★2—00%——
2
ROBBY ASHFORDQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
17
A.J. ABBOTTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET83NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CJ VERDELLRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
TRAVIS DYERB SERET
★3—00%——
CROSS PATTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
TREY BENSONRB JURET
★4—00%——
21
BYRON CARDWELL JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
SEAN DOLLARSRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
34
AARON SMITHRB FRTRUE FR
★3★200%—FELL
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DEVON WILLIAMSWR SORET
★4—00%——
11
TROY FRANKLINWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
DONT'E THORNTON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR★400%—EMERGED
13
TY THOMPSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
JOHNNY JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JAYLON REDDWR SERET
★4—00%——
14
SPENCER CURTISWR SERET
★2—00%——
1
ISAAH CROCKERWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
4
SPENCER WEBBTE JURET
★4—00%——
82
KORBIN WILLIAMSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
20
TEVIN JEANNISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
5
MYCAH PITTMANWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
4
KRIS HUTSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
15
ISAIAH BREVARDWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
3
TERRANCE FERGUSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
SEVEN MCGEEWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
88
MOLIKI MATAVAOTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
23
JACK VECCHIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH DELGADOWR JURET
★4★400%—HELD
86
LANCE WILHOITEWR FRRET
★4—00%——
88
PATRICK HERBERTTE SERET
★4—00%——
89
TYLER NANNEYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
COOPER SHULTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
VON REAMESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KINGSLEY SUAMATAIAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TY THOMPSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
TROY FRANKLINHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DONT’E THORNTON JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BRAM WALDENHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KEITH BROWNHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AVANTE DICKERSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
SEVEN MCGEEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JAYLIN DAVIESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MOLIKI MATAVAOHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYLER SHOUGHTEXAS TECHQB★4★3
CALE MILLENNORTHERN ARIZONADB★4★3
ISAAC SLADE-MATAUTIASMULB★4★3
CYRUS HABIBI-LIKIOBOISE STATERB★3★3
DEOMMODORE LENOIRNFL DRAFT R5CB★4—
ANDREW FAOLIUELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
HUNTER KAMPMOYERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
NICK PICKETTELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
JORDON SCOTTELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
AUSTIN FAOLIUELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
19OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9248COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
012 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR12%12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE