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HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
PENN STATE#7 AP 6 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
90FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#615 BC / 24
BC RATIO
58%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.0-2.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT88
CONTINUITY9
DEFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT87
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1APURDUE—W 35-31646565+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HOHIO—W 46-10153535+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AAUBURN—W 41-12885959+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 33-14181515+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HNORTHWESTERN—W 17-7671616+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AMICHIGAN#3L 17-41919999-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HMINNESOTA—W 45-17648888+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HOHIO STATE#4L 31-44999898-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AINDIANA—W 45-14743131+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HMARYLAND—W 30-0737676+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ARUTGERS—W 55-10612727+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HMICHIGAN STATE—W 35-16764949+46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2AUTAH#10W 35-21779393+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL92PERF67RET85ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
SEAN CLIFFORDQB SERET
★4—8583%+15—
15
DREW ALLARQB SENO SNAPS
★5—5115%-22—
11
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXQB SERET
★3★3192%+28HELD
9
BEAU PRIBULAQB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▾RB62TAL91PERF62RET12ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
KAYTRON ALLENRB SENO SNAPS
★4—9246%+11—
10
NICHOLAS SINGLETONRB SENO SNAPS
★5—9041%+22—
2
KEYVONE LEERB SERET
★4★3517%-21FELL
38
TANK SMITHRB SERET
★5—445%-71—
34
TYLER HOLZWORTHRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—232%——
22
DEVYN FORDRB SERET
★4★300%-21FELL
▾WR/TE65TAL86PERF63RET68ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
BRENTON STRANGETE JURET
★4—9241%+10—
5
MITCHELL TINSLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9029%+6—
84
THEO JOHNSONTE JURET
★4—8734%+24—
3
PARKER WASHINGTONWR SORET
★4—8424%+18—
5
KEANDRE LAMBERT-SMITHWR SERET
★4★47518%+5HELD
2
HARRISON WALLACE IIIWR SERET
★3★47216%-2ROSE
44
TYLER WARRENTE SERET
★3—6818%+29—
5
OMARI EVANSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3536%-43HELD
16
KHALIL DINKINSTE SERET
★3—466%——
2
LIAM CLIFFORDWR SERET
★3—463%——
3
MALICK MEIGAWR SERET
★3★3372%—HELD
7
KADEN SAUNDERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4321%—HELD
89
GRAYSON KLINETE SERET
UNR—40%——
17
MASON STAHLWR JURET
★2—00%——
88
JERRY CROSSTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
CRISTIAN DRIVERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
12
ANTHONY IVEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
83
JAKE SPENCERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
TYLER JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
JAN MAHLERTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JASON ESTRELLAWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
KOLIN PEARCETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
ROBERT ROSSIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL55TAL87PERF55RET0n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL69TAL91PERF69RET43n=12 · 8 METRICS · 73 OBS
▸LB63TAL85PERF63RET87n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB65TAL84PERF65RET93n=11 · 8 METRICS · 64 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANI DENNIS-SUTTONHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
NICK SINGLETONHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
DREW ALLARHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
KADEN SAUNDERSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DREW SHELTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KAYTRON ALLENHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
MEHKI FLOWERSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ANTHONY IVEYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CRISTIAN DRIVERHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JERRY CROSSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAMERON SULLIVAN-BROWNMASSACHUSETTSWRUNRUNR
TA'QUAN ROBERSONUCONNQB★4★3
TYLER RUDOLPHMASSACHUSETTSS★4UNR
NOAH CAINLSURB★4UNR
DERRICK TANGELOELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
ARNOLD EBIKETIEELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
JOHN LOVETTELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
CAZIAH HOLMESELIGIBILITY UPRB★4—
WINSTON EUBANKSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JAQUAN BRISKERELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9122COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST93%93th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE