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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|BARRY ODOM|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
PURDUE86 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
61FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
31%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#991 BC / 17
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs2.7-9.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.1
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE42
PERFORMANCE42
TALENT55
CONTINUITY50
DEFENSE37
PERFORMANCE37
TALENT55
CONTINUITY31
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HBALL STATE—W 31-01733+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—W 34-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HUSC#20L 17-33888989-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ANOTRE DAME#10L 30-56949797-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HILLINOIS—L 27-43548383-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AMINNESOTA—L 20-27714949-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ANORTHWESTERN—L 0-19596363-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HRUTGERS—L 24-27624747-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AMICHIGAN#21L 16-21938282-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HOHIO STATE#5L 10-34999999-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AWASHINGTON—L 13-49749191-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28HINDIANA#1L 3-5648100100-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL61PERF67RET84ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
RYAN BROWNEQB JUPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★38884%-19HELD
3
MALACHI SINGLETONQB SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★36116%+33FELL
18
BENNETT MEREDITHQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
EVANS CHUBAQB SOPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★3★300%—HELD
7
GARYT ODOMQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB41TAL32PERF42RET73ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
DEVIN MOCKOBEERB SERET
★3—8644%-2—
22
ANTONIO HARRISRB JURET
UNR—7528%+21—
24
MALACHI THOMASRB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★3★37325%-30HELD
22
JARON THOMASRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3202%—HELD
3
JAHEIM MERRIWEATHERRB JURET
★3★3131%-16HELD
28
ADDAI LEWELLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
CARTER HOLSWORTHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL55PERF46RET16ROTATIONn=10 · 7 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
NITRO TUGGLEWR JUPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★39527%+25FELL
2
MICHAEL JACKSON IIIWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★39527%+5FELL
13
EJ HORTON JR.WR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
★3★38117%+4HELD
87
CHRISTIAN EARLSTE SEPORTAL · UNLV
UNR★37434%-43EMERGED
12
COREY SMITHWR JUPORTAL · TULSA
★3★37111%+1HELD
44
CHRISTIAN MOORETE SEPORTAL · UNLV
★3★36827%+27HELD
10
JESSE WATSONWR SORET
★3—679%-52—
4
ARHMAD BRANCHWR JURET
★3★3627%+25HELD
8
RICO WALKERTE SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★36118%-30FELL
81
GEORGE BURHENNTE JURET
★3—5917%+15—
85
LUCA PUCCINELLITE SOPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★3354%—HELD
5
CHAUNCEY MAGWOODWR SEPORTAL · UCF
★3★3351%-25HELD
11
TRA'MAR HARRISWR SORET
★3—150%——
9
JALIL HALLWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
8
DE'NYLON MORRISSETTEWR SERET
★4★300%-2FELL
4
CHARLES ROSSWR SEPORTAL · USC
★3★300%+16HELD
86
AJ RICHARDSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
DAVID WASHINGTONWR FRPORTAL · UTAH
★3★300%—HELD
83
ANDREW ADKISONWR JURET
★3—00%——
84
NOLAN BUCKMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
LUKE KLARETE SORET
UNR—00%——
41
JON GRIMMETTTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
33
QUINN ROSENKRANZWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
43
JACKSON BERRYMANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
94
LUKE SHORTERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
LANDON GILMOREWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
ROMAN MERCADOWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL62TAL55PERF62RET52n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL61TAL58PERF61RET50n=8 · 7 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸LB76TAL42PERF76RET4n=4 · 11 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB57TAL58PERF57RET28n=9 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALIL HALLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MAXWELL BARBEEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ZYNTREACS OTEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JARON THOMASHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RASHAD JONESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ZIAIRE STEVENSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LANDON BROOKSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN18 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYRELL GREENEASTERN KENTUCKYIOL★2★3
MILES MITCHELLMONMOUTHEDGE★2★3
RYAN TURNERBOSTON COLLEGECB★4★3
BREYLON CHARLESNORTH TEXASDLUNR★3
MARQUES EASLEYGEORGIAIOL★4★3
NITRO TUGGLEGEORGIAWR★4★3
BRADYN JOINERAUBURNIOL★3★3
MALACHI SINGLETONARKANSASQB★4★3
TONY GRIMESUNLVCB★5★3
COREY SMITHTULSAWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT52 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DILLON THIENEMANOREGONDB★3★4
WILL HELDTCLEMSONDE★3★4
MAHAMANE MOUSSALOUISVILLEOL★3★3
JEFFREY M'BASMUDT★3★3
KYNDRICH BREEDLOVEARIZONA STATES★3★3
ANTONIO STEVENSKENNESAW STATEDB★3★3
MAX KLAREOHIO STATETE★3★4
NYLAND GREENARIZONA STATECB★4★3
BOTROS ALISANDROOLD DOMINIONCBUNR★3
YANNI KARLAFTISNORTHWESTERNLB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES40%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS83%13 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#99NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8435COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
5156 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR52%52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST28%28th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE