SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|DAVID BAILIFF|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
RICE122 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
25FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1220 BC / 17
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs1.6-10.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-19.5
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HSTANFORD#20L 7-62908585-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AUTEP—W 31-14700+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AHOUSTON—L 3-38586767-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 7-13202020-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30APITTSBURGH—L 10-42756363-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HARMY—L 12-4932929-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUTSA—L 7-20113838-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HLOUISIANA TECH—L 28-42362727-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AUAB—L 21-525———NON-FBS OPPONENT
11NOV 11HSOUTHERN MISS—L 34-43353434-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AOLD DOMINION—L 21-241988-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HNORTH TEXAS—L 14-30133333-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JACKSON TYNERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MIKLO SMALLSQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
TOM STEWARTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
SAMUEL STEWARTRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
EMMANUEL ESUKPARB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
ASTON WALTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
AUSTIN WALTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
NAHSHON ELLERBERB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
CAMERON MONTGOMERYRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
CHARLIE BOOKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
REAGAN WILLIAMSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
RANDALL ROYALLFB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
36
PAINE MATISCIKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
LANCE WRIGHTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
PARKER SMITHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
CAMERON JOHNSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
4
SAM GLAESMANNWR JURET
★3—00%——
7
JORDAN MYERSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
ROBBY WELLS IIITE —RET
UNR—00%——
35
WILL PHILLIPSTE SORET
★2—00%——
83
KYLEN GRANSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
28
AARON CEPHUSWR SERET
★2—00%——
10
AUSTIN TRAMMELLWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
RHETT CARDWELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
AUSTIN CONRADWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
BRADLEY ROZNERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
TREVOR LONGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
9
JESSE HUDAKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
32
NOLAN SPENCERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
NICHOLAS SORENSENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MIKLO SMALLSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
GEORGE NYAKWOLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KENNETH ORJIHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
CORBIN SMITHHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
TYRAE THORNTONHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
ISAIAH RICHARDSONHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
RANDALL ROYALLHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
AUSTIN TRAMMELLHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
GARRETT GRAMMERHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
CHRIS BOUDREAUXHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TEMI ALAKASOUTH FLORIDAWRUNRUNR
J.T. BLASINGAMENOT LISTEDCBUNR—
DEREK BROWNNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
CONNOR CELLANOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CAMERON DECELLNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DARIK DILLARDNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
CODY HENESSEENOT LISTEDDTUNR—
ALEX LYONSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TABARI MCGASKEYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
REID MITCHELLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#122NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7848COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST31% BACK31th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG31% BACK31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE