SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE BLOOMGREN|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
RICE119 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 28
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.5-8.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.0
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AARMY—L 7-1474545-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HWAKE FOREST—L 21-41535858-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HTEXAS#25L 13-48968181-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HBAYLOR#13L 13-21758787-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HLOUISIANA TECH—L 20-23445353-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AUAB—L 20-35324949-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUTSA—L 27-313955+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HSOUTHERN MISS—L 6-20363232-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HMARSHALL—L 7-20434747-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 31-28341616-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HNORTH TEXAS—W 20-14372929-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AUTEP—W 30-161722+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
TOM STEWARTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
WILEY GREENQB JURET
★2—00%——
19
EVAN MARSHMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ROBBIE BLOSSERQB JURET
★3—00%——
17
PARKER TOWNSQB SORET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ASTON WALTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
CHARLIE BOOKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
NAHSHON ELLERBERB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
REAGAN WILLIAMSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
CAMERON MONTGOMERYRB SERET
★2—00%——
21
JUMA OTOVIANORB SERET
★3—00%——
5
ARI BROUSSARDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
LUKE ARMSTRONGFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BRENDAN SUCKLEYFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JAWAN KINGRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
27
AYDEN NORIEGARB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JAEGER BULLTE SERET
★2—00%——
7
JORDAN MYERSTE SERET
★2—00%——
13
ZANE KNIPEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
1
JOVONI JOHNSON-MCCRAYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
BRADLEY ROZNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JAKE BAILEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
ROBERT FRENCHTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
JACK BRADLEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
AUSTIN TRAMMELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
81
AUGUST PITREWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
4
SAM GLAESMANNWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
RHETT CARDWELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
AUSTIN CONRADWR JURET
★2—00%——
80
JONATHAN SANCHEZTE JURET
★2★200%—HELD
84
BENNETT MECOMWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
JASHON PALMERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
JERRY JOHNSON IIITE SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE BAILEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TRE'SHON DEVONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ZANE KNIPEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DE'BRAYLON CARROLLHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JAWAN KINGHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JACK BRADLEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HUNTER HENRYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HUNTER JONESHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
IZEYA FLOYDHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
JOSH PEARCYHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACKSON TYNERTEXAS TECHQBUNRUNR
ROE WILKINSARIZONA STATEDTUNRUNR
EMMANUEL ESUKPABYURBUNRUNR
JUSTIN BICKHAMIOWA STATECBUNRUNR
ZACH ABERCRUMBIASMUDTUNRUNR
SHAWN STANKAVAGEELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
GIOVANNI GENTOSIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
GRAYSEN SCHANTZELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
JORIAN CLARKELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
AUSTIN WALTERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7903COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR33%33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE