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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|GREG SCHIANO|—RECORD3-6|CONF—
RUTGERS72 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
55FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#640 BC / 23
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-6ACTUALvs3.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.4
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE9 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24AMICHIGAN STATE—W 38-27763838-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HINDIANA#12L 21-37638181-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AOHIO STATE#2L 27-4999100100-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HILLINOIS—L 20-23723131-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HMICHIGAN—L 42-48908080-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28APURDUE—W 37-30716767-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HPENN STATE—L 7-23938888-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AMARYLAND—W 27-24734646-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18HNEBRASKA—L 21-28827474-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET58NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ARTUR SITKOWSKIQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
NOAH VEDRALQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
MCLANE CARTERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
AUSTIN ALBERICCIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
EVAN SIMONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
COLE SNYDERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ISAIH PACHECORB JURET
★3—00%——
33
PARKER DAYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
AARON YOUNGRB SERET
★3—00%——
27
PIOTR PARTYLARB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
15
KAY'RON LYNCH-ADAMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
ELIJAH BARNWELLRB SERET
★3—00%——
40
JOSEPH HAYFORDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
KYLE MONANGAIRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
NYJON FREEMANRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
BO MELTONWR SERET
★4—00%——
6
CHRISTIAN DREMELWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
MATT ALAIMOTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
PAUL WOODSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
SHAMEEN JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
ARON CRUICKSHANKWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
JOVANI HASKINSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
JOHNATHAN LEWISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
21
JOHNNY LANGANTE SERET
★3—00%——
14
ISAIAH WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
49
KYLE PENNISTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MOHAMED JABBIEWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
PRINCE TAYLORWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
COLE MURPHYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
EVERETT WORMLEYWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
9
TYLER HAYEKWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
7
HUNTER HAYEKWR JURET
★2—00%——
14
MONTERIO HUNTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
RYAN CASSIDYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
12
JALEN JORDANWR FRRET
★3—00%——
11
EDDIE LEWISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
RICH MCDONALDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
BRANDON MYERSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
DAEVON ROBINSONWR SORET
★3—00%——
82
COOPER HEISEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
STANLEY KINGWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
1
CHRIS LONGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
NASIR MONTGOMERYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
AHMIRR ROBINSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
32
JOHN GUAIMANOWR SORET
UNR—00%——
42
JAKE MALANEYTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
89
VICTOR KONOPKATE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
TAHJAY MOORETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
JESSIE PARSON IIIWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
JAMEER CAMPBELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
FREDERIK KREBSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
THOMAS MORGANTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
KEVIN SCHAEFFERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS LONGHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TYREEM POWELLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MAX MELTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RENE KONGAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
BRYAN FELTERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
EVAN SIMONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
WESLEY BAILEYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ELIJUWAN MACKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ROBERT LONGERBEAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISAIAH WRIGHTHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT4 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN ROSAVIRGINIA TECHLBUNRUNR
RAHEEM BLACKSHEARVIRGINIA TECHRB★3UNR
WILLINGTON PREVILONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TJ ROBINSONNOT LISTEDDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#64NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8421COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST93% BACK93th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG93% BACK93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE