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HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE108 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1200 BC / 10
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28HSOUTHERN UTAH—W 45-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1SEP 4AUSC—L 7-30933838-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AHAWAI'I—W 17-13243434+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 3-23234141-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 37-31622+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ACOLORADO STATE—L 14-32333333+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 13-19316262-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUNLV—W 27-20221212+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HWYOMING—W 27-21134141-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANEVADA—L 24-27294949-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HUTAH STATE#24L 17-48233939-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HFRESNO STATE—L 9-40417676-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
NICK STARKELQB SERET
★3—00%——
2
WALKER EGETQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
MATT DER TOROSSIANQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
KAIREE ROBINSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
KENYON SIMSRB SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
★3★300%—HELD
23
TYLER NEVENSRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
BRENDAN MANIGORB JURET
UNR—00%——
36
JAKAI TORRESRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
TAARIQ JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
NICK NASHWR SERET
★2★400%—ROSE
84
SAM OLSONTE SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
13
JERMAINE BRADDOCKWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
DERRICK DEESE JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ISAIAH HAMILTONWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
81
DOMINICK MAZOTTITE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
MALIKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
CHARLES ROSSWR SEPORTAL · NEVADA
★3★300%—HELD
84
ISAIAH HOLINESSWR JURET
★2—00%——
21
JAMAR SIMPSONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
4
SHAMAR GARRETTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
JACKSON CANAANTE SERET
★2—00%——
86
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKTE SEPORTAL · IOWA STATE
★3★300%—HELD
41
STEVEN HOUSTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
CHANCE LA CHAPELLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
ANDRE CRUMP JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
82
TERENCE LOVILLEWR SORET
★3★200%—FELL
13
BRANDEN ALVAREZWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
ASSANI BERKELEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
DONALD MCKINNEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WALKER EGETHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BRYUN PARHAMHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
NATE LEWISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAVON BAPTISTEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRANDEN ALVAREZHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ASSANI BERKELEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAI PETERSON-DAVISONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MARCEL SANDERSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
FERNANDO CARMONAHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RYAN STEWARTHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVON SIDNEYILLINOISWR★4★4
KENYON SIMSILLINOISRB★3★3
MATTHEW TAGOOREGON STATEOLB★3★3
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKIOWA STATETE★3★3
CHARLES ROSSNEVADAWR★3★3
RYAN NIXONTULSAS★3★2
CHARLIE ROGERSSAN DIEGO STATETE★2★2
JALEN HAMLERCAL POLYQBUNRUNR
WILL HARTMICHIGANPUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BAILEY GAITHERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
BILLY BOB HUMPHREYSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
TRE WEBBELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
TRE WALKERELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JACKSON BURRILLELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
JALEND DINWIDDIENOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#120NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8229COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
97 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE