SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE89 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
25FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
3%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#750 BC / 22
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-4ACTUALvs7.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE27
PERFORMANCE27
TALENT35
CONTINUITY3
DEFENSE15
PERFORMANCE15
TALENT38
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
24MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HPORTLAND STATE—W 21-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AAUBURN—L 16-24885959-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 34-63188+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AWYOMING—W 33-16112424+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HUNLV—W 40-7152222+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AFRESNO STATE#24L 10-17445555-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HNEVADA—W 35-282444+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HCOLORADO STATE—W 28-162755+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 27-43183636+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AUTAH STATE—L 31-35171717+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HHAWAI'I—W 27-142622+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 27-41203131+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL3PERF41RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHEVAN CORDEIROQB SENO SNAPS
★2—97100%-1—
2
WALKER EGETQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
TYLER VOSSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB37TAL17PERF37RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
KAIREE ROBINSONRB SERET
★3—9469%-17—
20
KENYON SIMSRB SERET
★3★3323%-11HELD
6
CAMDAN MCWRIGHTRB FRTRUE FR
★3—91%——
6
JABARI BATESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JAKOB GALLOWAYRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
21
KAYDEN COLLINSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
IAN JERNAGINRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE23TAL38PERF26RET63ROTATIONn=11 · 7 METRICS · 60 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ELIJAH COOKSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—9931%+27—
11
JUSTIN LOCKHARTWR SENO SNAPS
★2—9726%+9—
13
JERMAINE BRADDOCKWR SERET
★3★37715%+4HELD
81
DOMINICK MAZOTTITE SERET
★3★37631%+35HELD
84
SAM OLSONTE SERET
★2★37429%-36ROSE
4
SHAMAR GARRETTWR SERET
★3★37227%-48HELD
85
JACKSON CANAANTE SERET
★2—6923%-38—
4
CHARLES ROSSWR SERET
★3★3679%+14HELD
86
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKTE SERET
★3★36017%-28HELD
12
MALIKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3—586%+1—
9
ISAIAH HAMILTONWR SERET
★2★3585%+36ROSE
3
NICK NASHWR SERET
★2★4544%-37ROSE
ISAAC JERNAGINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—412%——
13
BRANDEN ALVAREZWR SORET
★3★3100%—HELD
82
TERENCE LOVILLEWR SORET
★3★270%—FELL
2
MATT COLEMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
30
ASSANI BERKELEYWR JURET
★3—00%——
17
CIEONTA DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
NICHOLAS WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
TREVOR VOSSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
MAKAI SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL29TAL41PERF29RET18n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL52TAL25PERF52RET85n=7 · 7 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸LB54TAL32PERF54RET79n=9 · 11 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB37TAL54PERF37RET61n=7 · 6 METRICS · 35 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEJON RONEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAKOB GALLOWAYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JABARI BATESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CIEONTA DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAIRUS SATELEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ULUAKINOFO TALIAULIHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JUSTIN EKLUNDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TYLER VOSSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JUSTIN STEARNSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ANTHONY GARCIAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SINJUN ASTANIUSCDL★2UNR
ISAIAH HOLINESSMASSACHUSETTSWR★2UNR
NICK STARKELELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
KYLE HOPPEELIGIBILITY UPCUNR—
JAY LENARDELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
TREVOR ROBBINSELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JACK SNYDERELIGIBILITY UPOTUNR—
HADARI DARDENELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TYLER NEVENSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
TYSYN PARKERELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#75NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8277COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST61%61th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE