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HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE63 FPIMWC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
38FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
93%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1120 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs7.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT45
CONTINUITY93
DEFENSE52
PERFORMANCE52
TALENT52
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26AUSC—L 28-56957878-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HOREGON STATE—L 17-42618686-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HCAL POLY—W 59-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16ATOLEDO—L 17-21376161-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HAIR FORCE—L 20-4516767-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ABOISE STATE—L 27-35486767-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ANEW MEXICO—W 52-241577+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUTAH STATE—W 42-21252020+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AHAWAI'I—W 35-02088+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HFRESNO STATE—W 42-18445555-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 24-13262222+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AUNLV—W 37-31145555-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 14-24394949-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB66TAL5PERF66RET97ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHEVAN CORDEIROQB SERET
★2—9297%+11—
9
JAY BUTTERFIELDQB SOPORTAL · OREGON
★4★4233%—HELD
5
WALKER EGETQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
TYLER VOSSQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB73TAL51PERF73RET46ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
QUALI CONLEYRB SEPORTAL · UTAH TECH
★2★39347%+34ROSE
32
KAIREE ROBINSONRB SERET
★3—9246%+14—
6
JABARI BATESRB SERET
★3—527%-56—
21
KAYDEN COLLINSRB SORET
UNR—60%——
28
JAKOB GALLOWAYRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
34
VILIAMI TEURB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE35TAL64PERF33RET96ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
NICK NASHWR SERET
★2★49835%0ROSE
81
DOMINICK MAZOTTITE SERET
★3★39449%+22HELD
12
MALIKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3—8726%0—
4
CHARLES ROSSWR SERET
★3★38424%+10HELD
84
SAM OLSONTE SERET
★2★38333%+26ROSE
86
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKTE SERET
★3★36618%+16HELD
ISAAC JERNAGINWR JURET
★3—577%-1—
2
MATT COLEMANWR SERET
UNR★3556%+15EMERGED
13
BRANDEN ALVAREZWR SORET
★3★3311%—HELD
89
KEYNAN HIGGINSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
NICHOLAS WILLIAMSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
84
JOSHUA SCOTTTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
11
JUSTIN LOCKHARTWR SERET
★2—00%+4—
24
SEBASTIAN MACALUSOWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
JACKSON CANAANTE SERET
★2—00%-38—
80
TREVOR VOSSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
13
COOPER HOCHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
KAMAEHU KOPA-KAAWALAUOLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
JOSEPH HERNANDEZ JR.WR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL43TAL40PERF43RET91n=7 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL48TAL61PERF48RET96n=11 · 7 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸LB35TAL42PERF35RET79n=7 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB46TAL54PERF46RET71n=7 · 6 METRICS · 34 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VAKA HANSENHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
COOPER HOCHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEYNAN HIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAMAEHU KOPA-KAAWALAUOLEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DYLAN LEEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ALEXANDER COBBSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HUNTER NOWELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
IMARI CONLEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
GRECO CARRILLOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LUKE GRISKEYHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAY BUTTERFIELDOREGONQB★4★4
DJ HARVEYVIRGINIA TECHCB★4★4
LAAKEA KAPOISAN DIEGO STATEOT★3★3
KALEB PELEKIMISSOURI STATEDLUNR★2
KYLER HALVORSENHAWAI'IKUNR★2
QUALI CONLEYUTAH TECHRB★2★2
JAYVION COLECAL POLYCBUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JERMAINE BRADDOCKPORTLAND STATEWR★3★3
ISAIAH HAMILTONWASHINGTON STATEWR★2★3
KENYON SIMSJACKSONVILLE STATERB★3★3
NEHEMIAH SHELTONELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
KYLE HARMONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
ALII MATAUELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CADE HALLELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
ELIJAH COOKSELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
LANDO GREYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TRE WHITEELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES10%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS45%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#112NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8081COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
79 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST71%71th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE