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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SMU›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|SONNY DYKES|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
SMU49 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#680 BC / 20
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.2
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AARKANSAS STATE—W 37-30334242+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNORTH TEXAS—W 49-27372929+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HTEXAS STATE—W 47-171699+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ATCU—W 41-38796868-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 48-21502121+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HTULSA—W 43-37314444+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTEMPLE—W 45-21426161+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 24AHOUSTON—W 34-31613737+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AMEMPHIS#17L 48-54498888-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HEAST CAROLINA—W 59-51391111+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANAVY#20L 28-35147777-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HTULANE—W 37-20427070-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET19NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
SHANE BUECHELEQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
WILLIAM BROWNQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
12
DEREK GREENQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
TERRANCE GIPSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
JACOB OEHRLEINQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
OMARI ROSSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET52NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
TYLER LAVINERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
KE'MON FREEMANRB SERET
★3—00%——
24
ULYSSES BENTLEY IVRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
TJ MCDANIELRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
31
MEREK PIERCERB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
XAVIER JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TAMERIK WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
CAMERON ROSENBERGERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
MYRON GAILLIARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
RYAN BECKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
AUSTIN UPSHAWWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
TREVEON JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
CALVIN WIGGINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
JAMES PROCHEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
CJ SANDERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
REGGIE ROBERSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
KYLEN GRANSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
TYLER PAGEWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
JUDAH BELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
11
RASHEE RICEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
TOMMY MCINTYRETE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
COREY RAUTE SERET
★3—00%——
99
CODY BANKSTE JURET
★3—00%——
44
KEDRICK JAMESTE JURET
★4★400%—HELD
84
MATT DORRITYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
KEITH JONESWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
BEN REDDINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
45
BEN PALMERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
41
JACK HAJDUWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
9
BEAU BARKERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
DEVAN RECK-IRVINWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
CARSON WELCHTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
36
WALKER FRENCHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
CJ SANDERSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
REGGIE ROBERSON, JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANIELSON IKEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KEKE BURNSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CALVIN WIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TERRANCE GIPSONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
RASHEE RICEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DONALD CLAYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TJ MCDANIELHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TAI BROOKSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ULYSSES BENTLEY IVHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HENRY MOSSBERGHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MIKIAL ONUCOLORADOS★3UNR
BEN HICKSARKANSASQBUNRUNR
HUNTER THEDFORDUTAHTEUNRUNR
BRAEDEN WESTELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JOURDAN BLAKEELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
COLE WESTERFIELDELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
COLE STERNSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
KYRAN MITCHELLELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JORDAN WYATTELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JAKE HALLELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#68NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8279COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST50% BACK50th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG50% BACK50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE