SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SMU›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
ACC|RHETT LASHLEE|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
SMU23 FPIACC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#315 BC / 20
BC RATIO
30%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs9.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT78
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT66
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
53MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HEAST TEXAS A&M—W 42-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HBAYLOR—L 45-48754848+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13AMISSOURI STATE—W 28-1072121+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ATCU#25L 24-35777373+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HSYRACUSE—W 31-18761616+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HSTANFORD—W 34-10671818+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ACLEMSON—W 35-24967676+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AWAKE FOREST—L 12-13476262+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HMIAMI#2W 26-20909494-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 45-13502929+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HLOUISVILLE—W 38-6648282+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ACALIFORNIA—L 35-38744141+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2HARIZONA—W 24-19528080+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL41PERF67RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KEVIN JENNINGSQB SERET
★3—9899%+25—
14
CHARLIE FISERQB SERET
UNR—141%——
1
TY HAWKINSQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
16
TYLER VAN DYKEQB SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★4★300%+23FELL
▾RB43TAL70PERF43RET0ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
T.J. HARDENRB SENO SNAPS
★3—9548%+10—
16
CHRIS JOHNSON JR.RB SEPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★37522%+35FELL
24
LINK RHODESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—495%——
4
DRAMEKCO GREENRB FRTRUE FR
★4—475%-52—
2
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★4—403%+14—
29
ZACH HERNANDEZRB FRRET
UNR—60%——
26
ZANE MINORSRB SERET
UNR—00%-38—
25
WILLIAM FIERRORB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE75TAL75PERF75RET77ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ROMELLO BRINSONWR SERET
★4★39431%+4FELL
88
MATTHEW HIBNERTE SERET
★4★39359%+17FELL
2
JORDAN HUDSONWR SERET
★4★49229%+19HELD
8
YAMIR KNIGHTWR SEPORTAL · JAMES MADISON
UNR★38724%+23EMERGED
82
RJ MARYLANDTE SERET
★4—7327%+30—
10
JALEN COOPERWR SONO SNAPS
★4—7314%+12—
0
DERRICK MCFALLWR SORET
★4—6816%+28—
44
STONE EBYTE SERET
★3—549%——
84
TRIPP RIORDANTE JURET
★3—363%——
11
CARTERRIOUS BROWNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—342%——
5
ADAM MOORETE SORET
★3★3292%+38HELD
45
ISAIAH ROBERTSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—110%——
18
DYLAN GOFFNEYWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★360%+5HELD
13
DAYLON SINGLETONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
39
KEATON CHEVESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
JAXSON LAVENDERWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
35
HENRY STICKLERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
46
SEAN KANETE SORET
UNR—00%——
33
MEYER PEREIRAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
CASE HOLLERONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
36
COOPER REEDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
MILES UTERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
JAMES LARSONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
LANCE BEEGHLEYWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
42
WILL LOCKETE SORET
UNR—00%——
86
DEVON MARTINTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL63TAL85PERF63RET57n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL65TAL70PERF65RET44n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB56TAL59PERF57RET79n=7 · 11 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB53TAL65PERF53RET79n=12 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DRAMODD ODOMSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JALEN COOPERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TY HAWKINSHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DAYLON SINGLETONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DRAMEKCO GREENHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ZADIAN GENTRYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CARTERRIOUS BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVION HOLIDAYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MARK IHEANACHORHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TYREN POLLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSHUA BATESOKLAHOMAIOL★4★3
MARCELLUS BARNES JR.SYRACUSECB★4★3
ADDISON NICHOLSARKANSASIOL★4★3
CHRIS JOHNSON JR.MIAMIRB★4★3
JEFFREY M'BAPURDUEDL★3★3
JAHKAI LANGMISSOURIEDGE★3★3
WOO SPENCERLOUISVILLEDL★3★3
DJ WARNERKANSASEDGE★4★3
YAMIR KNIGHTJAMES MADISONWRUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LJ JOHNSON JR.CALIFORNIARB★4★3
AJ DAVISWASHINGTON STATECB★3★3
PRESTON STONENORTHWESTERNQB★4★3
JAHARI ROGERSCOLORADO STATEDB★4★3
MIKE SANDJOWASHINGTON STATEDTUNR★3
KELDRIC LUSTERTEXAS STATEQB★3★3
WILL BENTON IVGEORGIA TECHLSUNRUNR
ELIJAH ROBERTSNFL DRAFT R5DE★4—
BRASHARD SMITHNFL DRAFT R7RB★4—
JAKAI CLARKELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES74%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS62%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8808COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST50% BACK50th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG50% BACK50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR57%57th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST79%79th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE