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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH ALABAMA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|STEVE CAMPBELL|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
SOUTH ALABAMA127 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
30FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1150 BC / 25
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HLOUISIANA TECH—L 26-30452828-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 13-55748484-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HTEXAS STATE—W 41-3191212-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMEMPHIS—L 35-52477373-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AAPP STATE—L 7-52207878-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 13-48103333-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HALABAMA STATE—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
9OCT 23HTROY—L 17-38185353-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AARKANSAS STATE—L 14-38384545-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HUL MONROE—L 10-38121919-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ALOUISIANA—L 38-48262828-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 31-2891111-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET57NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
EVAN ORTHQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
COLE GARVINQB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
CEPHUS JOHNSON IIIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
TYLAN MORTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JACKSON HOLLADAYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
TRA MINTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TYWUN WALTERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
DEONTA MOORERB JURET
UNR—00%——
27
MAURICE MAYORB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JARED WILSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
CARLOS DAVISRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
JOHN TANK MILLERRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
JALIN BUIERB JURET
★3—00%——
7
TERRION AVERYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
DAVID GARDNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JAHMMIR TAYLORWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
JORDAN MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KHAMERON TAYLORTE SERET
★2—00%——
29
COLLIER SMITHTE JURET
UNR—00%——
1
MAASEIAH FRANCISTE JURET
UNR—00%——
4
SAM HARRISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
JAMARIUS WAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
MALIK STANLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
ZAC CROSBYTE SERET
★2—00%——
15
KAWAAN BAKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
JALEN WAYNEWR SERET
★2—00%——
12
CADE SUTHERLANDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JALEN TOLBERTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
PARKER MASONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
ANDREW REINKEMEYERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
34
DAVID WEBBWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
VICTOR MCCLINTONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
TRE'VEON HAMILTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
HUNTER HENSONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
LOGAN MORGANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
JAMEL THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
NICK THOMPSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
AUSTIN TAYLORWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
WILL COURTNEYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MO EDWARDSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEITH GALLMONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DESMOND TROTTERHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
BEN BECKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JOSH MCCULLOCHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CARLOS DAVISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAMALL HICKBOTTOMHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JARED WILSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TYLER JERNIGANHS RECRUITOC★2UNR
CHARLES COLEMANHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DALLAS DAVISELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ZACH BEFORTNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DARRELL SONGYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
WADE FORDENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JEREMY REAVESNOT LISTEDSUNR—
ANTONIO LONDONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JIMMIE GIPSONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
TRE ALFORDNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
QUINTON LANENOT LISTEDCBUNR—
T'QWAN ROBINSONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#115NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7857COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR57%57th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE