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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH ALABAMA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|KANE WOMMACK|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
SOUTH ALABAMA72 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
37FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
1%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1040 BC / 11
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.5
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE51
PERFORMANCE51
TALENT41
CONTINUITY1
DEFENSE54
PERFORMANCE54
TALENT63
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNICHOLLS—W 48-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 38-24181515+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AUCLA#21L 31-32808585-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HLOUISIANA TECH—W 38-143988+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ALOUISIANA—W 20-17345252+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HUL MONROE—W 41-34141111+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HTROY#19L 6-10356767+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AARKANSAS STATE—W 31-3371919+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 38-31223333+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HTEXAS STATE—W 38-21362323+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ASOUTHERN MISS—W 27-20393939+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HOLD DOMINION—W 27-20281919+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 23-44425050+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL70PERF53RET5ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CARTER BRADLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—9495%+7—
1
DESMOND TROTTERQB SERET
★3—335%+10—
10
TANNER MCGEEQB JURET
★2—00%——
17
ELI GAINEYQB SORET
★3—00%——
19
JT MCARDLEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL22PERF65RET4ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
LA'DAMIAN WEBBRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—9349%+25—
22
OMNI WELLSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—7220%-32—
3
BAM MCREYNOLDSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36716%+16HELD
29
MARCO LEE JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—6012%-43—
7
TERRION AVERYRB SERET
UNR—394%-40—
30
LAJADAN TOLBERTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
DAMEAN BIVINSRB SORET
★2—00%——
23
BRYAN HILLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
JONATHON CARTERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE66TAL29PERF66RET83ROTATIONn=6 · 8 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DEVIN VOISINWR SERET
★2—9632%+26—
JALEN WAYNEWR SERET
★2—9531%+24—
5
CAULLIN LACYWR SERET
★3★49229%+26ROSE
20
BRANDON CRUMTE SERET
★2—8331%+11—
88
LINCOLN SEFCIKTE SERET
UNR—8029%-26—
8
DJ THOMAS-JONESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—8029%-4—
2
JAMAAL PRITCHETTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—504%——
27
JACOB HOPPERTE JURET
★3—497%——
86
TODD JUSTICETE SERET
UNR—394%——
6
JAY'JUAN TOWNSENDWR JURET
★3—372%——
13
CHRISTIAN WORTHAMWR FRRET
★3★3251%—HELD
11
NAE'SAAN DICKERSONWR SERET
★3—170%——
25
COOPER WILSONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—101%——
81
JEREMIAH WEBBWR SENO SNAPS
★2—100%——
84
OAKLEY COLEMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
15
VICTOR MCCLINTONWR SERET
★2—00%——
18
KEYSHAWN WOODYARDWR SERET
★3—00%——
44
NICK RUGGSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
82
PARKER KAHLERTWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
YASIR BERRYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CHRISTOPHER DAVIS JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
CAELEB SCHLACHTERTE JUNO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
▸OL55TAL39PERF55RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL56TAL19PERF57RET69n=10 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB52TAL68PERF52RET73n=6 · 11 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB55TAL77PERF55RET41n=10 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RJ MOSS JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CHRYSTYILE CALDWELLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MALACHI CARNEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BLAYNE MYRICKHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
RICKY FLETCHERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BAM MCREYNOLDSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KENTON JERIDOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TREMEL STATES-JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KHALIL JACOBSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CHRISTOPHER DAVIS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KWAMEH LEWISELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAKE BENTLEYELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
DEVIN ROCKETTEELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
KAREEM WALKERELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
CHRIS HENDERSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
CHRISTIAN BELLELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
SHAWN JENNINGSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JAMAL BROOKSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
TRE YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
RYAN MELTONELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#104NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8188COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST50% BACK50th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG50% BACK50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST41%41th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE