SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTHERN MISS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|JAY HOPSON|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
SOUTHERN MISS86 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
36FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#820 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HALCORN STATE—W 38-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 15-38846262-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ATROY—W 47-42223535-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AALABAMA#8L 7-491009898-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HUTEP—W 31-131722+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HNORTH TEXAS—W 45-27372929+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ALOUISIANA TECH—L 30-45445353-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ARICE—W 20-62377+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HUAB—W 37-2324949-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AUTSA—W 36-173955+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 10-28415656-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 17-34465252-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CHANDLER ROGERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
TATE WHATLEYQB SORET
★3—00%——
16
JACK ABRAHAMQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
MARCELO RODRIGUEZQB SORET
★3—00%——
11
THOMAS MORTONQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JASON GOLDSTEINQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JADEN JOHNSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
9
L.J. LEONARDQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
ANTAVIOUS WILLISRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
TRIVENSKEY MOSLEYRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
36
JORDAN KEMPFRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
STEVEN ANDERSONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
DARIUS MABERRYRB JURET
★3—00%——
33
KEVIN PERKINSRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
26
DALTON BRADFIELDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JOSH LIDDELLRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
MATT PLEASANTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
48
RAY LADNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
33
COLE CAVALLOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JACOB PRINCETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JORDAN MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
QUEZ WATKINSWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
JAYLOND ADAMSWR SORET
★3—00%——
20
KRIS REEDWR JURET
★2—00%——
82
TREVOR TERRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TIM JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
NEIL MCLAURINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DE'MICHAEL HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
DEMARCUS JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
MATT PLEASANTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
BARRETT BARHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
BRAD DENNISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
LUKE BAKERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
CHRIS SCRUGGSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
29
SHELDON JAMESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
33
NARICUSS DRIVER JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
MARQUIS MCCOYWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
42
AVERY WHITETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
COREY WILSON JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
31
WALTER BELLWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
COREY WILSON, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
WILLIAM POTOSKY, IIITE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JADEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LUKE BAKERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
COKER WRIGHTHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
LOUIS SMITHHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
ANTAVIOUS WILLISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TQ NEWSOMEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
CHRIS SCRUGGS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GERQUAN SCOTTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CHANDLER ROGERSHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MATTHEW RYALSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GEORGE PAYNEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
XAVIER MARIONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
WALDEN DAVISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
PICASSO NELSON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DARIAN YANCEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JEREMY SANGSTERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JAY'SHAWN WASHINGTONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
TEZ PARKSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
LADARIUS HARRISELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
SHERROD RUFFELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#82NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8188COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST92% BACK92th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG92% BACK92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE