SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH FLORIDA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF SCOTT|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
SOUTH FLORIDA107 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#630 BC / 21
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs3.3-8.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-11.5
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ANC STATE#20L 0-45769090-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HFLORIDA—L 20-42947878-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HFLORIDA A&M—W 38-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25ABYU#19L 27-35326666-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ASMU—L 17-41556666-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HTULSA—L 31-32395353-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HTEMPLE—W 34-144377+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AEAST CAROLINA—L 14-29454040-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HHOUSTON#17L 42-54537777-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HCINCINNATI#4L 28-45639797-81BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ATULANE—L 14-45373232-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUCF—L 13-17655353-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET12NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CADE FORTINQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
TIMMY MCCLAINQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
KATRAVIS MARSHQB SORET
★3—00%——
NOAH JOHNSONQB SERET
★2—00%——
16
BRENDAN CYRQB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
JORDAN SMITHQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET60NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
YASIAS YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MYCHAEL HAMILTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
KELLEY JOINERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DARRIAN FELIXRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BRIAN BATTIERB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
JAREN MANGHAMRB SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★4★300%—FELL
27
LEONARD PARKERRB SORET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
HOLDEN WILLISTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
CHRIS CARTERTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
38
SEAN ATKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MITCHELL BRINKMANTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
OMARION DOLLISONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
YUSUF TERRYWR SEPORTAL · BAYLOR
★3★300%—HELD
10
XAVIER WEAVERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DEMARCUS GREGORYWR JUPORTAL · OLE MISS
★3★300%—HELD
19
BRYCE MILLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
LATRELL WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
JIMMY HORN JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
14
JAH'QUEZ EVANSWR SORET
★3—00%——
44
THOMAS NANCETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
SINCERE BROWNWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
CHRISTIAN HELMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
FLAUBERT AKEPEUTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
GUNNAR GREENWALDTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
NICKOLAS TSHIVUADIWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
MICHAEL CUCCIWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
35
BAILEY PURCELLWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
GARRET REYNOLDSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JIMMY HORN JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GUNNAR GREENWALDHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
K'WAN POWELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JORDAN BLACKMONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
GABE NEALYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAELEN STOKESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TIMMY MCCLAINHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DAVON HICKSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
NICKOLAS TSHIVUADIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARDRECE MOBLEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS CURRYLSURB★4★3
JAREN MANGHAMCOLORADORB★4★3
MATTHEW HILLAUBURNWR★4★4
CHRISTIAN WILLIAMSMIAMICBUNR★4
JAMARI STEWARTMISSISSIPPI STATEEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN MCCLOUDARIZONAQB★3★3
BENTLEE SANDERSNEVADADB★3★3
RANDALL ST. FELIXFLORIDA INTERNATIONALWR★3★3
JOHNNY FORDFLORIDA ATLANTICRB★3★3
TERRENCE HORNEWESTERN CAROLINAWR★3★3
KJ SAILSELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
DEVONTRES DUKESELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
MIKE HAMPTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JACOB MATHISELIGIBILITY UPTE★4—
ODUNAYO SERIKIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#63NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8403COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST94% BACK94th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG94% BACK94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR12%12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE