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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›STANFORD›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|DAVID SHAW|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
STANFORD#20 AP 13 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
90FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1410 BC / 14
BC RATIO
41%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-4ACTUALvs9.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26ARICE—W 62-72522+83BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AUSC#12L 24-42988787-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 17-20395858+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUCLA—W 58-34926060+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HARIZONA STATE—W 34-24854747+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUTAH—W 23-20718181+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HOREGON—W 49-7847171+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AOREGON STATE—W 15-14571515+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AWASHINGTON STATE—L 21-24556969+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HWASHINGTON#16W 30-22839393-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HCALIFORNIA—W 17-14644242+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HNOTRE DAME#11W 38-20939191-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1AUSC#12L 28-31988787-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
RYAN BURNSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
19
KELLER CHRYSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
K.J. COSTELLOQB SERET
★4—00%——
18
JACK RICHARDSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
15
DAVIS MILLSQB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET37NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
CAMERON SCARLETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
TREVOR SPEIGHTSRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
DANIEL MARXFB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
BRYCE LOVERB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
DORIAN MADDOXRB SERET
★2—00%——
35
HOUSTON HEIMULIFB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
JUSTUS WOODSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
CAMERON MCFARLANERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
HANNES BOHNINGFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
REAGAN WILLIAMSFB —RET
UNR—00%——
87
BEN SNYDERFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DONALD STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
COLBY PARKINSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
DALTON SCHULTZTE —RET
UNR—00%——
2
TRENTON IRWINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JAY TYLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JJ ARCEGA-WHITESIDEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
ISAIAH BRANDT-SIMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
KADEN SMITHTE JURET
★4—00%——
80
SCOOTER HARRINGTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
5
CONNOR WEDINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
11
HARRY SCHWARTZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
OSIRIS ST. BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
88
TUCKER FISKTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
CALEB PHILLIPSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
KYLE MCCOMBSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
CAMERON BUZZELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
RYAN ATKINSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
SIDHART KRISHNAMURTHIWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FOSTER SARELLHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
WALKER LITTLEHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DAVIS MILLSHS RECRUITPRO★5UNR
COLBY PARKINSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
PAULSON ADEBOHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
OSIRIS ST. BROWNHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CONNOR WEDINGTONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
SIONE LUNDHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
RYAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
DALYN WADE-PERRYHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREYNFL DRAFT R1RBUNR—
SOLOMON THOMASNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
NOOR DAVISNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
ZACH HOFFPAUIRNOT LISTED?UNR—
CRAIG JONESNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
LUKE KAUMATULENOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DALLAS LLOYDNOT LISTED?UNR—
MICHAEL RECTORNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JORDAN WATKINSNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
FRANCIS OWUSUNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#14NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
10OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9266COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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