SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SYRACUSE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|DINO BABERS|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SYRACUSE77 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
50FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#570 BC / 20
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.4
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AOHIO—W 29-9151717+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HRUTGERS—L 7-17543333+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HUALBANY—W 62-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24HLIBERTY—W 24-2176363-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AFLORIDA STATE—L 30-33866060-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HWAKE FOREST#15L 37-40557171-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HCLEMSON#14L 14-17989595-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AVIRGINIA TECH—W 41-36724747-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 21-6644343-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ALOUISVILLE—L 3-41586060-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ANC STATE#20L 17-41769090-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HPITTSBURGH#13L 14-31749494-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TOMMY DEVITOQB SERET
★3—00%——
15
JACOBIAN MORGANQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
GARRETT SHRADERQB SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★300%—FELL
18
LUKE MACPHAILQB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
14
DILLON MARKIEWICZQB FRRET
★3—00%——
8
JUSTIN LAMSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET79NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
CHRIS ELMOREFB SERET
★3—00%——
39
COOPER LUTZRB SERET
★3—00%——
JARVEON HOWARDRB SERET
★3—00%——
34
SEAN TUCKERRB SORET
★3—00%——
27
ABDUL ADAMSRB SERET
★4—00%——
23
DAVID OBENG-AGYAPONGRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DEVAUGHN COOPERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
ANTHONY QUEELEYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
TREBOR PENAWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
20
ETHAN FISCHLERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
5
SHAROD JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
TAJ HARRISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
LUKE BENSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
19
ORONDE GADSDEN IITE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
DAMIEN ALFORDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
MAXIMILIAN MANGTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
UMARI HATCHERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
COURTNEY JACKSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
RUSSELL THOMPSON-BISHOPWR JURET
★3—00%——
7
STEVEN MAHAR JR.TE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
84
NATE WELLINGTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
SAM WARRENWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
JA'VONTAE WILLIAMSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
81
LANDON MORRISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
ISAIAH JONESWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DUCE CHESTNUTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ENRIQUE CRUZ JR.HS RECRUITOT★3UNR
UMARI HATCHERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUSTIN LAMSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ORONDE GADSDEN IIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JATIUS GEERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MALCOLM FOLKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TERRY LOCKETT JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOSH HOUGHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MALIK MATTHEWHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GARRETT SHRADERMISSISSIPPI STATEDUAL★4★3
CODY SHEARARIZONA STATEIOL★3★3
JASON SIMMONSNEW MEXICO STATELBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAWHAR JORDANLOUISVILLERB★3★3
MARKENZY PIERREEASTERN ILLINOISRB★3★3
NYKEIM JOHNSONKENT STATEWR★3★3
AARON HACKETTKENT STATETE★3★3
IFEATU MELIFONWUNFL DRAFT R3DB★3—
ANDRE CISCONFL DRAFT R3DB★3—
REX CULPEPPERELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
NOLAN COONEYELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
KYLE STRICKLANDELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KEVIN NUSDEONOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#57NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8476COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
316 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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