SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TCU›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG 12|GARY PATTERSON|—RECORD6-4|CONF—
TCU21 FPIB12 · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#288 BC / 19
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-4ACTUALvs6.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
4SEP 26HIOWA STATE#9L 34-37608686-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3ATEXAS#19W 33-31977878-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HKANSAS STATE—L 14-21515757-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HOKLAHOMA#6L 14-33959191-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ABAYLOR—W 33-23715353+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HTEXAS TECH—W 34-18653333+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AWEST VIRGINIA—L 6-24687575-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AKANSAS—W 59-235099+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HOKLAHOMA STATE#20W 29-22708989-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HLOUISIANA TECH—W 52-10422525+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
MAX DUGGANQB SERET
★4—00%——
7
MATTHEW DOWNINGQB JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
14
STEPHON BROWNQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%——
19
GRANT BEUCLERQB SORET
UNR—00%——
STEPHON BROWNQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%——
16
ELI WILLIAMSQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
17
CHRISTIAN GELOVQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
LUKE PARDEEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET14NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DAIMARQUA FOSTERRB SORET
★4—00%——
33
KENDRE MILLERRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
DARWIN BARLOWRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
EMARI DEMERCADORB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
ZACH EVANSRB JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
24
DERYL REYNOLDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
JEREMIAH HINESRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
STERLING JACKSONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
30
ALIJAH WOODRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TE'VAILANCE HUNTWR SERET
★4—00%——
0
BLAIR CONWRIGHTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
ARTAYVIOUS LYNNTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
JOHN STEPHENS JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
47
CARTER WARETE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
TAYE BARBERWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
DERIUS DAVISWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
CHASE CURTISTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
QUENTIN JOHNSTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
3
SAVION WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JD SPIELMANWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
MIKEL BARKLEYWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
PRO WELLSTE JURET
★3—00%——
11
DYLAN THOMASWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
ZACH FARRARWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
AL'DONTRE DAVISWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
JASON D'ARMOREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JACK POWERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
27
JACK HEATHCOTTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
BLAKE NOWELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
CALEB MEDFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
46
MICHAEL FRANKLINWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
DOMINIC DINUNZIOTE JURET
UNR—00%——
23
PENNY BAKERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
CADE ROSENKRANZWR SORET
UNR—00%——
13
JAKE NEUFELDWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
CHRISTIAN MACDONALDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
DEREK CERTOWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
CARVIN WATSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
MITCHELL HANSENTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
NICK BUSAWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
JAKE GOODMANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
LEX BOUCVALTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
WILSON LONGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
44
BEN REPPENHAGENTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
HILTON HARRISTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZACH EVANSHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
QUENTIN JOHNSTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GARRETT HAYESHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
PATRICK JENKINSHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
KEONTAE JENKINSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DJ ROGERSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
QUINCY BROWNHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BUD CLARKHS RECRUITS★4UNR
SAVION WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ALTRIQUE BARLOWHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ADAM PLANT JR.UNLVDL★3UNR
MIKE COLLINSRICEQBUNRUNR
JEFF GLADNEYNFL DRAFT R1CBUNR—
VERNON SCOTTNFL DRAFT R7S★3—
LUCAS NIANGNFL DRAFT R3OT★3—
ROSS BLACKLOCKNFL DRAFT R2DT★4—
JALEN REAGORNFL DRAFT R1WR★4—
DARIUS ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPRB★4—
JULIUS LEWISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CORDEL IWUAGWUELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#28NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8919COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST57% BACK57th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG57% BACK57th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE