SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|TOM HERMAN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
TEXAS25 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#256 BC / 15
BC RATIO
44%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs8.0-4.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HMARYLAND—L 41-51803333+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 56-03344+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AUSC#12L 24-27988787-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AIOWA STATE—W 17-7586666+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HKANSAS STATE—W 40-34507878-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HOKLAHOMA#3L 24-29899595-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HOKLAHOMA STATE#14L 10-13728989-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ABAYLOR—W 38-7744141+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATCU#9L 7-24778888-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HKANSAS—W 42-27491111+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWEST VIRGINIA—W 28-14686262+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HTEXAS TECH—L 23-27636060+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
SHANE BUECHELEQB SERET
★4—00%——
11
SAM EHLINGERQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
16
BLAKE NEVINSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
JOSH COVEYQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET25NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CHRIS WARREN IIIRB —RET
UNR—00%——
30
TONEIL CARTERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
32
DANIEL YOUNGRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
KYLE PORTERRB SERET
★4—00%——
28
KIRK JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
41
TRISTIAN HOUSTONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
40
TRENTON HAFLEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
TIM YODERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
COLLIN JOHNSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
6
DEVIN DUVERNAYWR SERET
★4—00%——
88
KENDALL MOORETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
ARMANTI FOREMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
GARRETT GRAYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
13
JERROD HEARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
LORENZO JOEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
DORIAN LEONARDWR —RET
UNR—00%——
1
JOHN BURTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
REGGIE HEMPHILL-MAPPSWR —RET
★3—00%——
84
LIL'JORDAN HUMPHREYWR JURET
★3—00%——
80
CADE BREWERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
ANDREW BECKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JOSHUA MOOREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
MICHAEL WILSONTE —RET
★2—00%——
43
ROBERT WILLISTE —RET
UNR—00%——
86
TAYLOR TESCHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
ERIC GONZALEZWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
DAVION CURTISWR —RET
★3—00%——
83
OMAR BARAKATWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
PHILIPP MOELLERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
CHRIS FEHRTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM EHLINGERHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
DAMION MILLERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TONEIL CARTERHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TA'QUON GRAHAMHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
MONTRELL ESTELLHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JOSH THOMPSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
REESE LEITAOHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MARQEZ BIMAGEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KOBE BOYCEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEREK KERSTETTERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
D'ONTA FOREMANNFL DRAFT R3RBUNR—
MATTHEW SIMSNOT LISTEDPUNR—
QUINCY VASSERNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
SHEROID EVANSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
CALEB BLUIETTNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
PAUL BOYETTE JR.NOT LISTEDDTUNR—
TIMOTHY COLENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BRYCE COTTRELLNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
KEVIN VACCARONOT LISTEDSUNR—
DYLAN HAINESNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#25NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8834COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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