SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|TOM HERMAN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
TEXAS#25 AP 20 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#316 BC / 27
BC RATIO
52%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.1
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HLOUISIANA TECH—W 45-14445353+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HLSU#1L 38-45979999-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ARICE—W 48-132377+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 36-30727373+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AWEST VIRGINIA—W 42-31712525+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HOKLAHOMA#7L 27-34959595-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HKANSAS—W 50-48472121+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ATCU—L 27-37796868+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HKANSAS STATE—W 27-24486666+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AIOWA STATE—L 21-23608282-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ABAYLOR#13L 10-24758787-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HTEXAS TECH—W 49-24576060+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
CASEY THOMPSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
11
SAM EHLINGERQB SERET
★4—00%——
19
BEN BALLARDQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
14
SAM SAXTONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
33
SKYLER BONNEAUQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ROSCHON JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
28
KEAONTAY INGRAMRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
28
KIRK JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
DANIEL YOUNGRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
JARRETT SMITHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
DERRIAN BROWNRB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
37
JAREN WATKINSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JORDAN WHITTINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
16
MARCUS WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
9
COLLIN JOHNSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
7
MALCOLM EPPSTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
8
JAKE SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
6
DEVIN DUVERNAYWR SERET
★4—00%——
1
JOHN BURTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN POUNCEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
39
MONTRELL ESTELLWR SERET
★4—00%——
80
CADE BREWERTE SERET
★3—00%——
4
AL'VONTE WOODARDWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
19
JARED WILEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
KENNEDY LEWISWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
BRENNAN EAGLESWR JURET
★4—00%——
6
JOSHUA MOOREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
TRAVIS WESTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
AUSTIN HIBBETTSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
JOSHUA MATTHEWSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
KAI JARMONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
KARTIK AKKIHALWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
PARKER ALFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
PATRICK BAYOUTHTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
BRAYDEN LIEBROCKTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
83
KAI MONEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
NATHAN HATTERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRU MCCOYHS RECRUITATH★5UNR
JORDAN WHITTINGTONHS RECRUITATH★5UNR
JAKE SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TYLER JOHNSONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DE'GABRIEL FLOYDHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
TYLER OWENSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KENYATTA WATSON IIHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MARCUS WASHINGTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DAVID GBENDAHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
BRAYDEN LIEBROCKHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHANE BUECHELESMUQB★4UNR
KYLE PORTERHOUSTONRB★4UNR
KRIS BOYDNFL DRAFT R7DBUNR—
CHARLES OMENIHUNFL DRAFT R5DLUNR—
TRE WATSONELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
ANDREW BECKELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JERROD HEARDELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CHRIS NELSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DAVANTE DAVISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
P.J. LOCKE IIIELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#3NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8987COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE