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HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS A&M›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|JIMBO FISHER|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
TEXAS A&M14 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
79%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-19IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1513 BC / 20
BC RATIO
69%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs9.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE76
PERFORMANCE76
TALENT86
CONTINUITY81
DEFENSE97
PERFORMANCE97
TALENT88
CONTINUITY79
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNEW MEXICO—W 52-101577+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AMIAMI—L 33-48928080+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HUL MONROE—W 47-31022+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HAUBURN—W 27-10887373+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AARKANSAS—W 34-22775959+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HALABAMA#5L 20-261009595-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATENNESSEE#17L 13-20899090-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 30-17856262+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AOLE MISS—L 35-38849292-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HMISSISSIPPI STATE#9W 51-10805454+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 38-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25ALSU#12L 30-42969292-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AOKLAHOMA STATE#16L 23-31606969+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB56TAL76PERF56RET70ROTATIONn=4 · 8 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MAX JOHNSONQB SERET
★4★37244%+1FELL
1
CONNER WEIGMANQB SERET
★5★46426%-14FELL
13
JAYLEN HENDERSONQB SEPORTAL · FRESNO STATE
★3★36021%+34HELD
10
MARCEL REEDQB SENO SNAPS
★4—459%+39—
14
BLAKE BOSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
DALLAS NOVICKEQB SORET
UNR—00%——
20
JOHNNY RYDERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB49TAL95PERF49RET62ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
RUEBEN OWENS IIRB SENO SNAPS
★5—8633%-49—
5
AMARI DANIELSRB SERET
★4—8532%+3—
8
LE'VEON MOSSRB SERET
★4—8127%-7—
26
DAVID BAILEYRB SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★3★3424%-28HELD
24
EARNEST CROWNOVERRB SERET
UNR—312%-54—
41
AJ DINOTARB SERET
UNR—121%——
32
JERRY JOHNSON IIIRB SEPORTAL · RICE
★2★300%—ROSE
48
JACOB GRAHAMFB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
ISRAEL BENJAMINRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
34
PRESTON LANDISRB SEPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
33
CHARLES SHELLINGRB JURET
UNR—00%——
29
JOSEPH MIKULECRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
SAM SALZRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
RONNIE CROSBY IIIRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE57TAL85PERF58RET81ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
AINIAS SMITHWR SERET
★3—9224%+31—
42
MAX WRIGHTTE SERET
★4—9143%+5—
19
JAKE JOHNSONTE SERET
★4★39043%-36FELL
5
NOAH THOMASWR SERET
★4★48419%+8HELD
7
MOOSE MUHAMMAD IIIWR SERET
★4—8117%+18—
9
JAHDAE WALKERWR SEPORTAL · GRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITY
UNR★38017%+30EMERGED
7
EVAN STEWARTWR SERET
★5★58017%-8HELD
18
THEO MELIN OHRSTROMTE SERET
★4★45811%—HELD
3
MICAH TEASEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3514%-64FELL
83
JADEN PLATTTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★4282%—HELD
11
RAYMOND COTTRELLWR FRTRUE FR
★4—271%——
89
FERNANDO GARZA IIITE SERET
★3★3241%—HELD
11
JORDAN ANTHONYWR SOPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★4★3241%—FELL
83
ANDREW MALESKIWR SORET
UNR—130%——
81
PIERCE TURNERWR FRRET
★5—60%——
5
JALEN PRESTONWR SERET
★4—00%-3—
80
HUNTER VIVALDIWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
87
JACOB BRASHERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
NATHAN FIGUEROATE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
BLAKE BUNTYNWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
DASHAWN FILLMOREWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
RYAN BURTINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL53TAL86PERF53RET86n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL82TAL94PERF82RET93n=11 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB93TAL79PERF93RET67n=3 · 10 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB60TAL88PERF60RET74n=13 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ HICKSHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
RUEBEN OWENS IIHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
CHASE BISONTISHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
DALTON BROOKSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BRAVION ROGERSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JAYVON THOMASHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TJ SHANAHAN JR.HS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
MICAH TEASEHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
RAYMOND COTTRELL JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JADEN PLATTHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM MCCALLFLORIDA STATECB★4★4
JOSH DEBERRYBOSTON COLLEGECB★3★4
TONY GRIMESNORTH CAROLINACB★5★4
JAHDAE WALKERGRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITYWRUNR★3
DAVID BAILEYCOLORADO STATERB★3★3
JURRIENTE DAVISJACKSON STATELBUNR★3
FINN DIRSTINEBOSTON COLLEGEIOL★4★3
JAYLEN HENDERSONFRESNO STATEQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATTHEW WYKOFFCALIFORNIAOL★3★3
DENVER HARRISLSUDB★4★3
HAYNES KINGGEORGIA TECHQB★4★3
ANTHONY LUCASUSCDE★4★4
BRIAN GEORGEHOUSTONDBUNR★3
CHASE LANEGEORGIA TECHWR★3★3
TARIAN LEE JR.GEORGIA SOUTHERNLB★3★3
DEVIN PRICEFLORIDA ATLANTICWR★3★3
BLAKE SMITHOKLAHOMATE★3★3
TUNMISE ADELEYEMICHIGAN STATEDL★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES65%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS42%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9160COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1332 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE