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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
PAC-12|JAKE SPAVITAL|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
TEXAS STATE115 FPIPAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#990 BC / 8
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs3.8-8.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.5
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HSMU—L 24-31607777-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HUTSA—L 48-51401919-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AUL MONROE—W 38-171766+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 21-24595151-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10ATROY—L 17-37195959-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 20-30151515-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24ABYU#11L 14-52469595-84BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HLOUISIANA#15L 34-44267474-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HAPP STATE—L 17-38267979-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 38-40214848-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HARKANSAS STATE—W 47-45292828-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HCOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 14-4987272-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET53NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JAYLEN GIPSONQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
TYLER VITTQB JURET
★3—00%——
11
BRADY MCBRIDEQB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
D.J. BOLGERQB SORET
UNR—00%——
10
TANNER PREWITQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ROBERT BROWN JR.RB SERET
★2—00%——
5
BROCK STURGESRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JAHMYL JETERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
CALVIN HILLRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
31
KENDON FLOWERSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
J.T. GREERFB FRRET
UNR—00%——
33
MARQUIS BROWNRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
DIEGO MENDOZARB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
CALEB TWYFORDWR SERET
★2—00%——
84
KORDELL RODGERSTE SORET
★3—00%——
80
CHANDLER SPEIGHTSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JAVEN BANKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TREVIS GRAHAMWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
BLAKE ARAGONWR SORET
★3—00%——
8
JACOBY HOPKINSWR SORET
★3—00%——
87
JACKSON LANAMTE JURET
★2—00%——
9
DRUE JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
MARCELL BARBEEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JEREMIAH HAYDELWR SERET
★2—00%——
10
JAH'MARAE SHEREADWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JAYCOB HORNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
8
WAYDALE JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
SETH CAILLOUETTE SORET
★2—00%——
88
KENNY FRAZIERWR FRRET
★2—00%——
83
MICAH HILTSTE SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
81
DYLAN JANTZWR FRRET
★3—00%——
82
KEVIN HOWARDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
ARIK BENNETTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JAHMARAE SHEREADWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
41
TYLER HUFFTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BROOKS MCCOYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
AUSTIN GROESCHELTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZION CHILDRESSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISSIAH NIXONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAYCOB HORNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROMELLE GRIERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
AUSTIN MARKIEWICZHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
TRENTON SCOTTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JOSH EMMANUELHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JOHN EMMANUELHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALIK ALLEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
LEDARRIUS HARRISELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JOSHUA ROWLANDELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
MASON HAYSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CLIFTON LEWIS JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BRYAN LONDON IIELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
HUTCH WHITEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ALVIN PACHECOELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
LINCOLN WARRENELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JALEN SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#99NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 8 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8181COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR53%53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE