SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JASON CANDLE|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
TOLEDO56 FPIMAC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
43FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#880 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.6
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AARKANSAS STATE—W 31-10444444+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HMAINE—W 45-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HFRESNO STATE—W 52-173155+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ABYU—L 53-55556464+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 35-20162424+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HBOWLING GREEN—W 42-35282727+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 31-17272828+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HOHIO—L 26-31214141+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AAKRON—W 48-17412929+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 31-24314040+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HBALL STATE—W 37-19192525+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AWESTERN MICHIGAN#15L 35-55407777+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
LOGAN WOODSIDEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
MICHAEL JULIANQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
JALEN REESEQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
MITCHELL GUADAGNIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
MATT WINZELERQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
QUENTIN GIBSONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
JAKE FLORIEAQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DAMION JONES-MOORERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
KAREEM HUNTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
RONNIE JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
BRAD SMITHRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
TERRY SWANSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
ART THOMPKINSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
NEVONE MCCRIMMONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
COREY JONESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
D'VARIO MONTGOMERYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ZACH YOUSEYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
MICHAEL ROBERTSTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DESMOND PHILLIPSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
DARRYL RICHARDSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ADAM KULONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
JON'VEA JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
DANZEL MCKINLEY-LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
CODY THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
ANDREW DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
DIONTAE JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
RHETT BLACKMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
NERU N'SHAKAWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
REGGIE GILLIAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BLAKE BLEVINSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
ANTHONY HARRISONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
DOUG BATESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
JACQUEZ WILLIAMSWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
29
DERICH WEILANDWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
RAYSHAWN WATKINSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
MICHAEL DAVISWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
RHETT BLACKMONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
ADRIAN ADAMSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
NATE SWARTTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
ELIJAH MORANTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
LIAM ALLENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES JACKSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
OBI ANUNIKEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NERU N'SHAKAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
EDRICK MATHEWSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DESMOND PHILLIPSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DEDARALLO BLUEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RONNIE JONESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LUKE DOERGERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CALVIN JACKSON JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEELEN ROBERTSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#88NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7987COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE