SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TOLEDO›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JASON CANDLE|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
TOLEDO65 FPIMAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
38FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#670 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs9.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
28MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNORFOLK STATE—W 49-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11ANOTRE DAME#8L 29-32929292-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HCOLORADO STATE—L 6-22333333+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ABALL STATE—W 22-12161818+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AMASSACHUSETTS—W 45-7900+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 20-22182626+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 23-26113636+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 34-15234141+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 49-52172323+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ABOWLING GREEN—W 49-17201515+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AOHIO—W 35-23151717+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HAKRON—W 49-141422+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TUCKER GLEASONQB SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★3★300%—HELD
1
DEQUAN FINNQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
CARTER BRADLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
13
A.J. GUCCIARDOQB SORET
★2—00%——
6
GAVIN HALLQB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
LAMY CONSTANTRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
35
JORDAN LOWERB FRRET
UNR—00%——
32
WILLIE SHAW IIIRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JACQUEZ STUARTRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
JALYNN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
BRYANT KOBACKRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
MICAH KELLYRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
33
CAUREN LYNCHRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DEVIN MADDOXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
ALEX ENDERSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
88
ANTHONY HARRISONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
ISAIAH WINSTEADWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
THOMAS ZSIROSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
CONNOR JONESTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
DEMEER BLANKUMSEEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JERJUAN NEWTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
DANZEL MCKINLEY-LEWISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DEAMONTE KINGWR JURET
★3—00%——
80
BRYCE MITCHELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
DREW ROSITE SERET
★3—00%——
9
JAMAL TURNERTE SERET
★2—00%——
10
ADAM BEALEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MATT LANDERSWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★3★300%—HELD
2
JALIN COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
25
CHRIS'SEON STRINGERWR FRRET
★3—00%——
83
JUSTIN STEPHENSTE JURET
★3—00%——
41
DALTON ANDREWSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
CLAY CAUDILLTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
3
LARRY STEPHENS IIIWR SERET
★3—00%——
39
KENYON SNEEDWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
40
LENNY KHLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRENTON ADKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DAMON OLLISONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
WILLIE SHAWHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LENNARD KUHLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAYLIN MINESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DALEN STOVALLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAIAH PIPKINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JEREMIAH PETERSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
RAJON HILLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DORAN RAYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TUCKER GLEASONGEORGIA TECHQB★3★3
BRAYDEN FOXRUTGERSWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT5 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RONNIE BLACKMONELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ELI PETERSELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
SHAKIF SEYMOURELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
DEVONTE' DUNNNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
TERREL FERRELLNOT LISTEDWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#67NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8281COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
53 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR41%41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE