SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TROY›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|NEAL BROWN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
TROY79 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#980 BC / 13
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.6
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HBOISE STATE#23L 20-56537979-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HFLORIDA A&M—W 59-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15ANEBRASKA—W 24-19826262-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AUL MONROE—W 35-27121919+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 45-2191111+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HGEORGIA STATE—W 37-203144+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ALIBERTY—L 16-22477+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 23ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 38-17301010+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HLOUISIANA—W 26-16262828+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 35-21103333+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HTEXAS STATE—W 12-791212+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AAPP STATE—L 10-21207878-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
GUNNAR WATSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
KALEB BARKERQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
SAWYER SMITHQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
KADE YOUNGQB JURET
★3—00%——
12
JACOB FREEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JOE VAIROQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET23NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
DK BILLINGSLEYRB SERET
★2—00%——
25
JOSH MAYSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ZACC WELDONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JABIR DAUGHTRY-FRYERB JURET
★2—00%——
46
WALTER PRITCHETTFB JURET
★2—00%——
15
TANNER BLATTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
B.J. SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
9
JAMARIUS HENDERSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
DK BILLINGSLYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
MONTAE BARTOFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
DEONDRE DOUGLASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
LUKE WHITTEMOREWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
BRET CLARKWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
DAMION WILLISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
RICHARD HALLMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
SIDNEY DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TRAVEON SAMUELWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DANIEL CROWELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
17
SAM LETTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
TRAY EAFFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
DEMONTREZ BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
GABE HILLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
TYLER HUSSEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
TIMMIE GIBSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TREY CORYELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
KAYLON GEIGERWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
81
CHRIS ROBINSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JOHNATHAN ORTNERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
BEE HINTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
JEB DAVISTE —RET
UNR—00%——
16
ANTHONY CONWELLWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEMONTREZ BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAKE ANDREWSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KJ ROBERTSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
WILL CHOLOHHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
GUNNAR WATSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
ANTHONY LEWIS JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LEVON FLETCHERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANTONIO SHOWERSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ANTHONY PIERCE JR.HS RECRUITDT★3UNR
GRANT BETTSHS RECRUITOC★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON SILVERSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JAMAL STADOMNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
KAMRYN MELTONNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
JOSH ANDERSONNOT LISTEDRB★2—
JORDAN CHUNNNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JALEN HARRISNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
SAM LEBBIENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
CLARK QUISENBERRYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
BRYAN SLATERNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
KELAN CHAIRSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#98NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8191COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST24% BACK24th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG24% BACK24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE