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HOME›TEAMS›TULANE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|WILLIE FRITZ|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
TULANE#9 AP 25 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
47FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#740 BC / 17
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs10.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.8
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE88
PERFORMANCE88
TALENT47
CONTINUITY16
DEFENSE66
PERFORMANCE66
TALENT48
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HMASSACHUSETTS—W 42-101200+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HALCORN STATE—W 52-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AKANSAS STATE#14W 17-10539494-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HSOUTHERN MISS—L 24-27393939+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AHOUSTON—W 27-24585757+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HEAST CAROLINA—W 24-9424848+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 45-315199+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HMEMPHIS—W 38-28476363+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ATULSA—W 27-13403434+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HUCF—L 31-38627373+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HSMU—W 59-24555858+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ACINCINNATI—W 27-24658282-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HUCF—W 45-28627373+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2AUSC#12W 46-45939292-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL47PERF57RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MICHAEL PRATTQB JURET
★3—8690%+13—
15
KAI HORTONQB SERET
★3★3356%-41HELD
13
JUSTIN IBIETAQB SORET
★3—284%+36—
9
CARSON HAGGARDQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB69TAL47PERF69RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
TYJAE SPEARSRB JURET
★3—9674%+37—
23
IVERSON CELESTINERB SERET
★3★36520%-30HELD
42
LUCAS BARISASRB FRRET
UNR—222%+11—
27
CAM CARROLLRB SERET
★2—171%+7—
38
JOSH COLTRINRB SORET
UNR—131%——
46
TATE JERNIGANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—131%——
40
GEORGE ARATARB SONO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
44
CHARLES SCHIBLERRB SORET
UNR—50%——
2
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%+3—
5
YGENIO BOOKERRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
20
MAKHI HUGHESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE76TAL46PERF76RET81ROTATIONn=7 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
TYRICK JAMESTE SERET
★3—8433%+29—
10
SHAE WYATTWR SERET
UNR—8428%+31—
2
DUECE WATTSWR SERET
UNR—8328%+34—
84
WILL WALLACETE SERET
★3—8131%-11—
4
JHA'QUAN JACKSONWR SERET
★3—7623%+29—
6
LAWRENCE KEYS IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★4—6513%+20—
87
ALEX BAUMANTE SENO SNAPS
★3★36417%+1HELD
9
REGGIE BROWNTE SERET
★3—6116%——
83
BRYCE BOHANONWR SERET
★3—474%——
24
TYREK PRESLEYWR SORET
★3★3311%—HELD
3
PHAT WATTSWR SERET
UNR—251%-42—
88
BLAKE GUNTERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—242%——
82
LUKE BESHWR SERET
UNR—181%——
39
TREVOR EVANSWR JURET
UNR—171%——
48
JONATHAN KAHNTE SERET
UNR—141%——
12
LUCAS DESJARDINSWR SERET
UNR—130%——
17
CHRIS BRAZZELL IIWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★4130%—ROSE
86
ANDREW WILKSTE SORET
UNR—101%——
1
JALEN ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3100%—HELD
82
REED RUTKOWSKIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
41
MICHAEL LAVERGNEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
14
DEA DEA MCDOUGLEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%-54—
16
GARRETT MMAHATWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL60TAL43PERF60RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL40TAL58PERF40RET59n=11 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB44TAL32PERF44RET86n=5 · 11 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸DB56TAL45PERF56RET67n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAXIE BAUDOIN IVHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BLAKE GUNTERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TAYLOR LOVEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MAKHI HUGHESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KENTRELL WEBBHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHRIS BRAZZELL IIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RAYSHAWN PLEASANTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JALEN ROGERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARSON HAGGARDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KAMERON HAMILTONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVARIS HALLSMUCB★3★3
JEFFERY JOHNSONOKLAHOMADL★3★3
JAYLON MONROEELIGIBILITY UPCB★2—
MARVIN MOODYELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
KEVIN HENRYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
AJANI KERRELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
JOSEPH DORCEUSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JAETAVIAN TOLESELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
DERRION RAKESTRAWELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
KEITHA JONES JR.NOT LISTEDTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#74NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8421COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST67%67th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE