SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
TULSA89 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#850 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.2
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AOKLAHOMA STATE#14L 24-59728989-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HLOUISIANA—W 66-42161010+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ATOLEDO—L 51-54296565-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HNEW MEXICO—L 13-16231616+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNAVY—L 21-31324343-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ATULANE—L 28-62362626-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HHOUSTON—W 45-17586767-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUCONN—L 14-203966+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ASMU—L 34-38453636-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HMEMPHIS#25L 14-41486868-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASOUTH FLORIDA#21L 20-27567575-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HTEMPLE—L 22-43434444-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CHAD PRESIDENTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
19
WILL HEFLEY IIIQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
LUKE SKIPPERQB SORET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
ROWDY SIMONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
D'ANGELO BREWERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
24
COREY TAYLOR IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SHAMARI BROOKSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
RAMADI WARRENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JAVON THOMASRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
REED MARTINRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
26
MATTHEW HARVEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KEENEN JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
33
ROB RIEDERERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
11
NIGEL CARTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS MINTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JOSH STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
COLE NEPHTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JUSTIN HOBBSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KEYLON STOKESWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
JARION ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
AVERY GRAGGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
DAVID FITZWATERTE SORET
★2—00%——
41
ANDREW MCKINNISWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DENZEL CARTERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
DHAILON PHILLIPSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
DAVID SNELLINGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
7
BISHOP LOUIEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
5
BRODRICK UMBLANCEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM CRAWFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SETH BOOMERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DANTE BIVENSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DAIQUAIN JACKSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KEYLON STOKESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARCUS MAYSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
REED MARTINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SHAMARI BROOKSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEVEN LAMPHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ZAVEN COLLINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRENT MARTINNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
MATT LINSCOTTNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
CONNER SHERWOODNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
MICHEAL THOMASNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOSH ATKINSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JEREMY BRADYNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JOHNELL CELISTANNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DANE EVANSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JAMES FLANDERSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JERRY UWAEZUOKENOT LISTEDDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#85NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7990COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE