SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
TULSA101 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
22FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#970 BC / 14
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.5
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—W 38-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ATEXAS#9L 21-28947676-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HARKANSAS STATE—L 20-29384545-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ATEMPLE—L 17-31455454-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AHOUSTON—L 26-41645151-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HSOUTH FLORIDA—L 24-25553636-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AARKANSAS—L 0-23816060-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HTULANE—L 17-24403131-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUCONN—W 49-192911+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AMEMPHIS—L 21-47477373-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ANAVY—L 29-37172222-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HSMU—W 27-24472929-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAVIS BRINQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
CHAD PRESIDENTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
LUKE SKIPPERQB SORET
★3—00%——
12
SETH BOOMERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
WILL HEFLEY IIIQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
BRANDON MARQUARDTQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
JAVON THOMASRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
REED MARTINRB FRRET
★3—00%——
24
COREY TAYLOR IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SHAMARI BROOKSRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
T.K. WILKERSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
BRANDON WORKMANRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
TREY HUNTERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JARION ANDERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KEENEN JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
CHRIS MINTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JOSH STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
COLE NEPHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
29
JUSTIN HOBBSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DAVID FITZWATERTE SORET
★2—00%——
2
KEYLON STOKESWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
AVERY GRAGGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
ANDREW MCKINNISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
SAM CRAWFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
CANNON MONTGOMERYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
MALIK JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JOSEPH BREEDLOVE IIIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
JORDAN RODRIGUEZTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DENZEL CARTERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
25
DHAILON PHILLIPSWR JURET
★3—00%——
38
ABE ANDERSONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
MALIK RODGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
DALTON MAYTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
TEREANCE JAMESTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
THOMAS BINGHAMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAXON PLAYERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DAVIS BRINHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JABARI JAMESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MARQUEZ PEREZHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANTHONY GOODLOWHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TK WILKERSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KENDARIN RAYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
IMIEE COOKSEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUSTIN WRIGHTHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
JOSH OWENSHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROB RIEDERERNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CRAIG SUITSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
C.J. GOODENNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
KOLTON SHINDELARNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ROWDY SIMONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KERWIN THOMASNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
ZAC UHLESNOT LISTEDGUNR—
JESSE BRUBAKERNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
FRANKIE DAVISNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
REDFORD JONESNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#97NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8061COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE