SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|PHILIP MONTGOMERY|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
TULSA76 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1260 BC / 10
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HUC DAVIS—L 17-19————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AOKLAHOMA STATE#7L 23-28619191-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AOHIO STATE#6L 20-41999999-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HARKANSAS STATE—W 41-344099+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HHOUSTON#17L 10-45537777-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HMEMPHIS—W 35-29534343+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 32-31471616+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HNAVY—L 17-2072222+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ACINCINNATI#4L 20-28639797-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ATULANE—W 20-13373232+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HTEMPLE—W 44-104377+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ASMU—W 34-31556666-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET10NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAVIS BRINQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
BRAYLON BRAXTONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
ROMAN FULLERQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
12
SETH BOOMERQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
CARSON COLLINSQB JURET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ANTHONY WATKINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
DENERIC PRINCERB SERET
★3—00%——
24
STEVEN ANDERSONRB SEPORTAL · SOUTHERN MISS
★3★300%—HELD
9
JORDAN FORDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
SHAMARI BROOKSRB SERET
★3—00%——
6
CHRIS LOVICKRB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
1
BILL JACKSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
EZRA NAYLOR IIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
ABE ANDERSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
47
ETHAN HALLTE SERET
★3—00%——
32
JAMES PALMERTE JURET
★2—00%——
2
KEYLON STOKESWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
SAM CRAWFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
20
CANNON MONTGOMERYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JUANCARLOS SANTANAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
JOSH STEWARTWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
GRAYSON BOOMERTE SORET
★4—00%——
84
JALEN PAXTONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
2
MALIK RODGERSWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
BAYNE TRYONTE JURET
★3—00%——
14
MARQUIS SHOULDERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
KAMDYN BENJAMINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
CORBIN DANIELSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
KEMANI BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
SCOTTIE ALEXANDERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRAYLON BRAXTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BILL JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SCOTTIE ALEXANDERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARQUIS SHOULDERSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
OWEN OSTROSKIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JADEN MOOREHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ZION HOPESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
SAMARI ALLENHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
SETH BULLOCKHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
WALTER YOUNG BEARHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYCE BRAYOKLAHOMA STATEIOL★3★3
STEVEN ANDERSONSOUTHERN MISSRB★3★3
JON-MICHAEL TERRYOKLAHOMAOLB★3★3
KENNEY SOLOMONTENNESSEEWRUNR★3
EZRA NAYLORKANSASWRUNR★3
WILL FARNIOKNEBRASKAIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN NIXONSAN JOSÉ STATECB★3★2
ALLIE GREEN IVMISSOURIDB★2UNR
AKAYLEB EVANSMISSOURIDB★2★3
ZAVEN COLLINSNFL DRAFT R1LB★3—
RA'QUAN THOMPSONELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
ZACH SMITHELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
COREY TAYLOR IIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
LAMAR MULLINSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DAMARCO WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
T.K. WILKERSONNOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#126NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8283COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
67 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE