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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TULSA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|KEVIN WILSON|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
TULSA115 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1150 BC / 21
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.5-8.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.4
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE42
PERFORMANCE42
TALENT49
CONTINUITY67
DEFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT53
CONTINUITY59
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 42-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AWASHINGTON#2L 10-43829191-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HOKLAHOMA#15L 17-66948888-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 22-14133030-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HTEMPLE—W 48-264255+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 17-20492525-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HRICE—L 10-42282323-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ASMU#22L 10-69768383-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCHARLOTTE—L 26-334333+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ATULANE—L 22-24415656-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HNORTH TEXAS—L 28-35303636-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AEAST CAROLINA—W 29-27451717-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL38PERF40RET24ROTATIONn=4 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
CARDELL WILLIAMSQB SERET
★3★36942%+31HELD
18
KIRK FRANCISQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★36434%+24EMERGED
1
BRAYLON BRAXTONQB SERET
★3★35116%-35HELD
10
ROMAN FULLERQB JURET
★3★3388%+35HELD
9
STEPHEN KITTLEMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
NATE RATCLIFFQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JACKSON JOHNSONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB40TAL66PERF40RET34ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ANTHONY WATKINSRB SERET
★3—8957%+8—
1
BILL JACKSONRB SERET
★3★37332%-6HELD
9
JORDAN FORDRB JURET
★3★372100%-31HELD
1
BRAYLIN PRESLEYRB SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★4★36110%-42FELL
8
TAHJ GARYRB JURET
★3—5211%+19—
21
CAM CROOKSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★3121%—HELD
20
JAYCE MORGANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
KEIGAN POWERSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE35TAL38PERF44RET57ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
47
ETHAN HALLTE SERET
★3—8945%+44—
18
KAMDYN BENJAMINWR SERET
UNR—8827%+29—
87
LUKE MCGARYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★38639%-12EMERGED
8
DEVAN WILLIAMSWR JURET
★3★37519%+27HELD
7
CARL CHESTERWR SERET
★3★37116%+26HELD
14
MARQUIS SHOULDERSWR JURET
★3★36211%+26HELD
9
NICK REMPERTWR SERET
UNR★3588%-35EMERGED
88
BAYNE TRYONTE JURET
★3—476%——
80
COLBY POWERSTE SORET
★3—466%——
82
CONNOR VAUGHNTE SERET
★3★3374%—HELD
19
GRAYSON TEMPESTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—191%——
34
WAYLON ADAMSTE SORET
UNR—111%——
5
KEITH WHEELERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
15
SCOTTIE ALEXANDERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
JESHARI HOUSTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JAHRID HUGHESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
24
MATTHEW OGUNRINWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
84
ASHTON SCHUMANNWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
14
DAMARI SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
ELI POTTSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
CAMDEN PECKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
COLE GREENEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL59PERF52RET85n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL45TAL57PERF45RET64n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB41TAL68PERF41RET43n=5 · 10 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB39TAL47PERF39RET63n=10 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CJ TURNERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MARI SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
REEVES BALLERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KASEN CARPENTERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ELIJAH WILSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DEVIN ROBINSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CAM CROOKSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ASHTON SCHUMANNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAMES EAGLINHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAHRID HUGHESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRAYLIN PRESLEYOKLAHOMA STATEATH★4★3
JULIEN SIMONUSCLB★4★4
ADRIAN HUEYKENTUCKYCB★3★3
KEUAN PARKERARKANSASCB★3★3
DEMARCO JONESOKLAHOMA STATECB★3★3
KANION WILLIAMSOKLAHOMA STATES★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JADEN MUSKRATAUBURNOL★2★3
DILLON WADEAUBURNOL★3★4
JUSTIN WRIGHTOKLAHOMA STATELB★2★3
ANTHONY GOODLOWOKLAHOMA STATEDE★3★4
DAVIS BRINGEORGIA SOUTHERNQB★3★3
ZION HOPESLOUISIANA TECHS★3★3
JON-MICHAEL TERRYELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
TYON DAVISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
BRYSON POWERSELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
GRANT SAWYERELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES76%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS76%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#115NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8315COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
69 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST35% BACK35th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG35% BACK35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR24%24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST63%63th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE