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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UAB›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BILL CLARK|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
UAB60 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 13
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.6
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 31-08———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AGEORGIA#1L 7-5699100100-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ANORTH TEXAS—W 40-6422828+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ATULANE—W 28-21373232+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HLIBERTY—L 12-3676363+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 31-14492929+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ASOUTHERN MISS—W 34-0391111+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HRICE—L 24-302833+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HLOUISIANA TECH—W 52-38451717+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AMARSHALL—W 21-14366161+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AUTSA—L 31-34445656+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUTEP—W 42-25123030+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BRYSON LUCEROQB JURET
★3—00%——
10
DYLAN HOPKINSQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
TYLER JOHNSTON IIIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
DYLAN MEHROTRAQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
12
HARRISON BARKERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
NICHOLAS SELLERSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JERMAINE BROWN JR.RB SERET
★2—00%——
24
LUCIOUS STANLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
LARRY WOODENRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
TYETUS SMITH-LINDSEYRB SORET
★2—00%——
22
DEWAYNE MCBRIDERB JURET
★3—00%——
23
A.J. GATESRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
LEE WITHERSPOONRB SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★3★300%—HELD
35
JUSTIN JONESRB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
RYAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
HAYDEN PITTMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
20
GERRIT PRINCETE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
A.J. DAVISWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
3
T.J. JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
RAJAE' JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SAMARIO RUDOLPHWR SERET
★2—00%——
11
TREA SHROPSHIREWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
TEJHAUN PALMERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
MALEAK BRYANTTE JURET
★3—00%——
10
TERRELL MCDONALDTE SERET
★2—00%——
26
AUSTIN MCGHEEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
36
LUKE PERCERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
48
MICHAEL YORKTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
89
BRODY DALTONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JORDAN PALMERWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
13
FRED FARRIER IIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
TYLER TRAWICKWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
SAVION HADLEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
38
MIKE CRAWFORDTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
TYRECE MICKENSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JOSH MALONEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
DAWSON BROWN IIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CLAY SMELLEYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
TEDDY DAVENPORTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CONNOR HARBYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TIM BURNS JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ELI RICHEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BOAZ SAINT-VILHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JORDAN PALMERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
FRED FARRIER IIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KYBO JAMERSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DEVIN MANIGAULTHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DYLAN MEHROTRAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CHARLES DANIELSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ANTWAN MASSIEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN THOMASLSUDL★3★3
CHARLIE BENTONWEST VIRGINIALB★2★3
LEE WITHERSPOONMISSISSIPPI STATERB★3★3
JALEN MAYALAINDIANAEDGE★3★3
TJ JONESPENN STATEWRUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TONY FAIRAUBURNDLUNR★3
JORDAN SMITHNFL DRAFT R4LB★2—
JARRION STREETELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRONTAE HARRISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
LUKE BRASHERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
SPENCER BROWNELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
JACOB FUQUAELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
THOMAS JOHNSTONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
AUSTIN WATKINSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
RUBIN STINSON IIIELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8248COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
57 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE