SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCLA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|CHIP KELLY|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
UCLA58 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#403 BC / 31
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.2-7.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29ACINCINNATI#21L 14-24567474-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 14-23455858-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HOKLAHOMA#7L 14-48959595-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AWASHINGTON STATE—W 67-63507979-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AARIZONA—L 17-20552323+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HOREGON STATE—L 31-48595151-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17ASTANFORD—W 34-16863333+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HARIZONA STATE—W 42-32776767-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HCOLORADO—W 31-14663838+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AUTAH#16L 3-49669191-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AUSC—L 35-52988484-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HCALIFORNIA—L 18-28644343-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
CHASE ARTOPOEUSQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
12
AUSTIN BURTONQB YRRET
★3—00%——
1
DORIAN THOMPSON-ROBINSONQB SERET
★4—00%——
11
CHASE GRIFFINQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
BLAKE KIRSHNERQB FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
JOSHUA KELLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DEMETRIC FELTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
36
ETHAN FERNEARB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
COLE KINDERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
COLSON YANKOFFRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
22
KEEGAN JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
33
JAHMON MCCLENDONRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
41
DUSTY MITCHELLRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
32
CHRISTIAN GRUBBRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
MATT LYNCHTE SERET
★3—00%——
4
JORDAN WILSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
86
DEVIN ASIASITE JURET
★4—00%——
88
MIKE MARTINEZTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
15
JAYLEN ERWINWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
2
KYLE PHILIPSWR SORET
★4—00%——
14
JOSIAH NORWOODWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
KAZMEIR ALLENWR JURET
★3—00%——
23
CHASE COTAWR SERET
★4—00%——
29
DELON HURTWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
GREG DULCICHTE SORET
UNR—00%——
9
DYMOND LEEWR JURET
★4—00%——
1
THEO HOWARDWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
86
MICHAEL EZEIKETE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
DAVID PRIEBETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
MICHAEL CHURICHTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
NOAH KEETERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
CHARLES NJOKUWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
27
ASHTON AUTHEMENTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
HUDSON HABERMEHLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JOSH HARRISTE SORET
UNR—00%——
25
DEAVYN WOULLARDWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SEAN RHYANHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
MICHAEL MARTINEZHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
SHAMAR MARTINHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CHARLES NJOKUHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WILLIAM NIMMO JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOHN WARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DUKE CLEMENSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
SIALE TAUPAKIHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
BEAU TAYLORHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CARL JONESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHIGOZIE NNORUKAMIAMIDLUNRUNR
CALEB WILSONNFL DRAFT R7TE★3—
WILTON SPEIGHTELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ADARIUS PICKETTELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
STEFAN FLINTOFTELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
CHRISTIAN PABICOELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
NATE MEADORSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
SOSO JAMABOELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
BOLU OLORUNFUNMIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
COLIN SAMUELELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#40NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8332COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE