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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCLA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|CHIP KELLY|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
UCLA31 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#294 BC / 18
BC RATIO
25%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28HHAWAI'I—W 44-10243434+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 4HLSU—W 38-27975050+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HFRESNO STATE—L 37-40417676-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ASTANFORD—W 35-24831919+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HARIZONA STATE—L 23-42828181-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AARIZONA—W 34-16511414+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AWASHINGTON—W 24-17883636+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HOREGON#22L 31-34957171-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AUTAH#12L 24-44788888-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HCOLORADO—W 44-20662020+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AUSC—W 62-33933838+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HCALIFORNIA—W 42-14724848+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET69NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
ETHAN GARBERSQB SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON
★4★300%—FELL
1
DORIAN THOMPSON-ROBINSONQB SERET
★4—00%——
11
CHASE GRIFFINQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
PARKER MCQUARRIEQB FRRET
★4—00%——
3
CHASE ARTOPOEUSQB JURET
★2—00%——
4
BLAKE KIRSHNERQB FRRET
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
ETHAN FERNEARB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
BRITTAIN BROWNRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
COLSON YANKOFFRB SERET
★4—00%——
24
ZACH CHARBONNETRB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★4★400%—HELD
22
KEEGAN JONESRB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
26
BRIAN KOWALLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
CHRISTIAN GRUBBRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
31
DESHUN MURRELLRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
MATT SYKESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
KYLE PHILIPSWR SORET
★4—00%——
14
JOSIAH NORWOODWR SERET
★2—00%——
19
KAZMEIR ALLENWR JURET
★3—00%——
86
MICHAEL EZEIKETE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
CHASE COTAWR SERET
★4—00%——
85
GREG DULCICHTE SORET
UNR—00%——
17
LOGAN LOYAWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
4
KAM BROWNWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★4★300%—FELL
29
DELON HURTWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
DAVID PRIEBETE JURET
★3—00%——
89
MICHAEL CHURICHTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
KEONTEZ LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
27
ASHTON AUTHEMENTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
HUDSON HABERMEHLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
MIKE MARTINEZTE SERET
★4—00%——
11
KAJIYA HOLLAWAYNEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
CHRISTIAN BURKHALTERTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
EZAVIER STAPLESWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
DEVANTI DILLARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
LUCAS EGURBIDETE FRRET
UNR—00%——
11
BRADLEY SCHLOMWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
GRANT NORBERGTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
SAM SUMMATE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TIAOALII SAVEAHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
QUINTIN SOMERVILLEHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DEVIN KIRKWOODHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
THOMAS COLEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CHRISTIAN BURKHALTERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JOSH MOOREHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DESHUN MURRELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEONTEZ LEWISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NOAH PULEALIIHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ISAIAH NEWCOMBEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZACH CHARBONNETMICHIGANRB★4★4
JAY TOIAUSCDL★4★4
ETHAN GARBERSWASHINGTONPRO★4★3
CAMERON JOHNSONNORTH TEXASSUNR★3
DEVIN AUPIUNOTRE DAMELB★3★3
JORDAN GENMARK HEATHNOTRE DAMESUNR★3
ALE KAHOALABAMAILB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT7 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAYSHAD WILLIAMSTEXAS TECHDB★3★3
ELIJAH GATESFRESNO STATEDB★4★4
JAYLEN ERWINHOUSTONWRUNR★3
DEMETRIC FELTONNFL DRAFT R6RB★3—
OSA ODIGHIZUWANFL DRAFT R3DL★3—
LENI TOAILOAELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
CHARLES NJOKUNOT LISTEDWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8787COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
88 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR69%69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE