SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCONN›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|JIM MORA|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
UCONN120 FPIIND · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
9FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
7%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1130 BC / 15
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE15
PERFORMANCE15
TALENT31
CONTINUITY7
DEFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT42
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27AUTAH STATE—L 20-31171717-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HCENTRAL CONNECTICUT—W 28-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HSYRACUSE—L 14-48535353-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AMICHIGAN#3L 0-59919999-84BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ANC STATE—L 10-41756363-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HFRESNO STATE#24W 19-14445555-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 33-123422+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ABALL STATE—L 21-25131313+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 13-3701313+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HMASSACHUSETTS—W 27-101200+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HLIBERTY—W 36-3364444-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AARMY—L 17-3414444-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 19HMARSHALL—L 14-28315555-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB46TAL9PERF47RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ZION TURNERQB JURET
★3★37799%-18HELD
2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONQB SERET
★4★341%-60FELL
12
TYLER PHOMMACHANHQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB44TAL33PERF44RET60ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
VICTOR ROSARB JUNO SNAPS
★3★38140%-21HELD
30
ROBERT BURNSRB SERET
★3★37228%+8HELD
3
DEVONTAE HOUSTONRB SERET
★2★36824%+35ROSE
0
BRIAN BREWTONRB SERET
★3★3478%-14HELD
0
CAM EDWARDSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
46
JOHN BECHTLERB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
NATHAN CARTERRB JURET
★2★300%+5ROSE
39
HAYDEN JORDANRB SORET
UNR—00%——
36
HUNTER CLARKRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE56TAL46PERF54RET58ROTATIONn=5 · 8 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
BRANDON NIEMENSKITE JURET
★3—8543%-30—
1
AARON TURNERWR SERET
★3★38031%+21HELD
16
KEVENS CLERCIUSWR JURET
★2—8031%+6—
7
JUSTIN JOLYTE SENO SNAPS
★2★47026%+44ROSE
84
JACOB FLYNNWR JURET
UNR—6819%-60—
87
BO ESTESTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—5010%——
1
DAJON HARRISONWR SERET
★3★3496%—HELD
80
RAYONTE BROWNTE JURET
★2—489%——
0
KEELAN MARIONWR SERET
UNR★4485%+29EMERGED
85
RUSSELL DIXONTE SORET
UNR—468%——
2
NIGEL FITZGERALDWR SENO SNAPS
★2★3403%-44ROSE
83
NICK HARRISTE SERET
UNR★2344%—EMERGED
3
ETHON WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3292%—HELD
6
CAM ROSSWR SERET
★3★3261%-40HELD
48
CONNOR PACEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
MATT DRAYTONWR SORET
★3—00%——
82
BRENDAN HEATHERMANTE FRRET
★3—00%——
13
DARIUS BUSHWR JURET
★3★200%—FELL
15
MARK DIDIO JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
KEVIN DUNNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
OWEN DESILVATE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
JOE GJINAJTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL20PERF52RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL43TAL50PERF43RET51n=9 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB35TAL47PERF35RET62n=4 · 11 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB56TAL31PERF56RET67n=7 · 6 METRICS · 39 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZION TURNERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DONOVAN BRANCHHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KYLISH HICKSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MATT HOFFMANHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
VICTOR ROSAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRADY WAYBURNHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEREK SPEARMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LEE MOLETTE IIIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TIMOTHY PASSMORE JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
D'MON BRINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALON FERRELLMASSACHUSETTSS★2UNR
LWAL UGUAKTCUDL★3UNR
JEREMY LUCIENVANDERBILTCB★2UNR
KYLE WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
OMAR FORTTELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRIAN KEATINGELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
MICAH LEONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
KEVIN MENSAHELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
STEVEN KRAJEWSKIELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
D.J. MORGANELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#113NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8183COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST67%67th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE