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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›USC›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|CLAY HELTON|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
USC23 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
98FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#208 BC / 24
BC RATIO
55%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HFRESNO STATE—W 31-23403939+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSTANFORD—W 45-20863333+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ABYU—L 27-30515555+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HUTAH#16W 30-23669191-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AWASHINGTON—L 14-28878888-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ANOTRE DAME#12L 27-30918686-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HARIZONA—W 41-14552323+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25ACOLORADO—W 35-31663838+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HOREGON#5L 24-56888989-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AARIZONA STATE—W 31-26776767+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ACALIFORNIA—W 41-17644343+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HUCLA—W 52-35854040+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KEDON SLOVISQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
MATT FINKQB SERET
★3—00%——
18
JT DANIELSQB SERET
★5★500%—HELD
4
TREVOR SCULLYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
SCOTT HARRISQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
38
BRAD AOKIQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
MARKESE STEPPRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
27
QUINCY JOUNTTIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KENAN CHRISTON IIRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
VAVAE MALEPEAIRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
STEPHEN CARRRB SERET
★5★300%—FELL
38
CHRIS EDMONDSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
BEN EASINGTONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
ERIK KROMMENHOEKTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
DEVON WILLIAMSWR SORET
★4—00%——
15
DRAKE LONDONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
4
MUNIR MCCLAINWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
AMON-RA ST. BROWNWR JURET
★5—00%——
83
JOSH FALOTE SERET
★4—00%——
6
MICHAEL PITTMAN JR.WR SERET
★4—00%——
81
KYLE FORDWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
VELUS JONES JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
89
CHASE LOCKEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
TYLER VAUGHNSWR SERET
★4—00%——
22
JACK WEBSTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
27
MATTHEW HOCUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
ZACH WILSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
41
CHRIS CAULKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
46
GRANT JONESTE SERET
★4—00%——
5
BRU MCCOYWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
ETHAN RAETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
JUDE WOLFETE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
14
JOHN JACKSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
46
SCOTT VOIGTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
SEAN MAHONEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYLE FORDHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DRAKE JACKSONHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
MAX WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MANINOA TUFONOHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
JUDE WOLFEHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
DRAKE LONDONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JASON RODRIGUEZHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KENAN CHRISTONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
RALEN GOFORTHHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BRITON ALLENHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVON SIDNEYILLINOISWR★4★4
CAMERON SMITHNFL DRAFT R5ILB★3—
MARVELL TELL IIINFL DRAFT R5SUNR—
IMAN MARSHALLNFL DRAFT R4CBUNR—
AJENE HARRISELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JONATHAN LOCKETTELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
MALIK DORTONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
REID BUDROVICHELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
REUBEN PETERSELIGIBILITY UPILBUNR—
ISAIAH LANGLEYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8844COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE