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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|KYLE WHITTINGHAM|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
UTAH47 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#592 BC / 16
BC RATIO
25%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE21
PERFORMANCE21
TALENT72
CONTINUITY59
DEFENSE95
PERFORMANCE95
TALENT77
CONTINUITY82
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HSOUTHERN UTAH—W 49-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HBAYLOR—W 23-12697272-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AUTAH STATE—W 38-21292121+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 22-19624040+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HARIZONA—L 10-23603939+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AARIZONA STATE#7L 19-27797474-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTCU—L 7-13808282-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AHOUSTON—L 14-17532424+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HBYU#13L 21-22448888-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ACOLORADO#25L 24-497871710BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HIOWA STATE#15L 28-31518080-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AUCF—W 28-14775555+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB35TAL65PERF35RET8ONE OWNERn=4 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ISAAC WILSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★37564%-28FELL
7
CAMERON RISINGQB SERET
★4—5718%+17—
14
BRANDON ROSEQB SENO SNAPS
★3★34310%-46HELD
15
LUKE BOTTARIQB SERET
★2★2398%—HELD
7
SAM HUARDQB SEPORTAL · CAL POLY
★5★300%-42FELL
▾RB53TAL58PERF53RET90ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
MICAH BERNARDRB SERET
★3★39871%+2HELD
8
DIJON STANLEYRB SERET
★4★35810%-62FELL
9
MIKE MITCHELLRB FRTRUE FR
UNR★35810%-42EMERGED
26
CHARLIE VINCENTRB SERET
★3—476%-32—
0
JAYLON GLOVERRB SERET
★4★3343%-32FELL
25
JOHN RANDLE JR.RB FRRET
★4★4140%—HELD
32
OMAR SHAHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
FRANKIE GOODSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
ANTHONY WOODSRB SEPORTAL · IDAHO
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE57TAL70PERF55RET44ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DORIAN SINGERWR SEPORTAL · USC
★3★49539%+17ROSE
80
BRANT KUITHETE SERET
★3—8328%+50—
88
DALLEN BENTLEYTE SERET
UNR—8228%-42—
20
CARSEN RYANTE SEPORTAL · UCLA
★4★37924%+20FELL
10
MONEY PARKSWR SERET
★3—7822%-17—
5
MYCAH PITTMANWR SERET
★4★46411%-18HELD
0
ZACHARYUS WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3608%-23HELD
6
DAIDREN ZIPPERERWR SERET
★3—598%-5—
83
MIKI SUGUTURAGATE SERET
★3—5810%-44—
4
MUNIR MCCLAINWR SERET
★3★3567%+13HELD
0
LANDEN KINGTE SERET
★3★3517%+52HELD
81
CALEB LOHNERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—424%——
19
LUCA CALDARELLAWR SERET
UNR—413%-47—
9
DAMIEN ALFORDWR SEPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★3151%+26HELD
8
TAESHAUN LYONSWR JUPORTAL · WASHINGTON
★4★3110%—FELL
17
RAYSHAWN GLOVERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
10
HUNTER ANDREWSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
KANA'I LOPESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
MATT CLARKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DAVID WASHINGTONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
20
JETT MEINEWR SORET
★3—00%——
89
JUSTICE BRUSATTOTE JURET
UNR—00%——
C.J. JACOBSENTE SORET
★3—00%——
87
SPENCER CLEGGTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
45
KAIMANA HANOHANOWR SORET
UNR—00%——
37
PEYTON RICEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
24
DIEZEL KAMOKUWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
27
CAMERON MITCHELLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL43TAL75PERF43RET77n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL64TAL77PERF64RET88n=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB61TAL68PERF61RET98n=4 · 11 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB60TAL81PERF60RET70n=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH GARCIAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ISAAC WILSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
HUNTER ANDREWSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ZACHARYUS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAVIS ANDREWSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DAVID WASHINGTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JEILANI DAVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KASH DILLONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
SAMMIE HUNTERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KANA'I LOPESHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARSEN RYANUCLATE★4★4
TAESHAUN LYONSWASHINGTONWR★4★4
DORIAN SINGERUSCWR★3★4
CAMERON CALHOUNMICHIGANCBUNR★3
KENAN JOHNSONGEORGIA TECHCB★3★3
ANTHONY WOODSIDAHORB★3★3
PAUL FITZGERALDUTAH STATEEDGE★3★3
ALAKA'I GILMANSTANFORDS★3★3
JOHN HENRY DALEYBYUEDGE★3★3
DAMIEN ALFORDSYRACUSEWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOLI FAAIUTEXAS A&MOL★3UNR
JATRAVIS BROUGHTONTCUCB★3★3
BRYSON BARNESUTAH STATEQBUNR★3
JA'QUINDEN JACKSONARKANSASRB★4★4
MIKEY MATTHEWSCALIFORNIAWR★4★3
NATE JOHNSONVANDERBILTRB★3★3
CHASE KENNEDYARIZONALB★3★3
JUSTIN MEDLOCKSMULB★3★3
FAYBIAN MARKSRICECB★3★3
HAYDEN ERICKSONSOUTH DAKOTATE★2★2
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES67%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS53%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#59NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8645COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1124 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST28% BACK28th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG28% BACK28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR77%77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE