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● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
PAC-12|MATT WELLS|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
UTAH STATE88 FPIPAC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#920 BC / 18
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.4
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HWEBER STATE—W 45-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AUSC#3L 7-45999494-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HARKANSAS STATE—W 34-20444444-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HAIR FORCE—L 20-2715555-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ABOISE STATE—L 10-21587777-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ACOLORADO STATE—L 24-31345050-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HFRESNO STATE—W 38-203155+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HSAN DIEGO STATE#25L 13-40467676-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AWYOMING—L 28-5292525+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HNEW MEXICO—L 21-24233030+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ANEVADA—L 37-38251313+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ABYU—L 10-28556464-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KENT MYERSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
CADE SMITHQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
GEROLD BRIGHTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
DEVANTE MAYSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
LAJUAN HUNTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
TONNY LINDSEY JR.RB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
JUSTEN HERVEYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
ELTORO ALLENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
DARWIN THOMPSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
DIONTE SIMONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
TONNY LINDSEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
MORIAN WALKER, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
MICHAEL SMITHRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
ANDREW RODRIGUEZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
KENNEDY WILLIAMSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
WYATT HOUSTONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
LANDON HORNETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
TYLER FOXWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ETHAN CORTAZZOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
DEREK HASTINGSTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
RAYSHAD LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
45
JOE PALANGETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JAREN COLSTON-GREENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
BRAELON ROBERTSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
ZACH VAN LEEUWENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
DAMION HOBBSTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
CHAD ARTISTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
ALEX BYERSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
DJ NELSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
RON'QUAVION TARVERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
AAREN VAUGHNSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
RON'QUAVION TARVERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
HUDSON CONRADWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
CONNOR MCGUIREWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
DAX RAYMONDTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDRU TOVIHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
KEVIN MEITZENHEIMERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
BRYCE MORTENSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TRE MILLERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRAXTON GUNTHERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MORIAN WALKERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JORDAN LOVEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
MAKIAH GILMERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HARTMAN RECTORHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
CRAIG RUCKERHS RECRUITAPB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8035COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE