SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
PAC-12|GARY ANDERSEN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
UTAH STATE79 FPIPAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
30FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#900 BC / 27
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AWAKE FOREST—L 35-38535858-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSTONY BROOK—W 62-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 23-17455858-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCOLORADO STATE—W 34-24454040-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ALSU#1L 6-42979999-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HNEVADA—W 36-10371414+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AAIR FORCE#22L 7-3158181-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HBYU—L 14-42515555-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AFRESNO STATE—W 37-35403939-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HWYOMING—W 26-21235050-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HBOISE STATE#23L 21-56527272-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ANEW MEXICO—W 38-252599+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SERET
★2—00%——
10
JORDAN LOVEQB JURET
★3—00%——
3
HENRY COLOMBIQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
JOSH CALVINQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
5
COOPER LEGASQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET37NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
GEROLD BRIGHTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JAYLEN WARRENRB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
21
ENOCH NAWAHINERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
34
RILEY BURTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
CHASE NELSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
SIONE FEHOKORB SORET
UNR—00%——
29
PAILATE MAKAKONARB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEVEN THOMPKINSWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
80
SEAN CARTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DEREK WRIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
LOGAN LEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
TRAVIS BOMANTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
SIAOSI MARINERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
SAVON SCARVERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
CARSON TERRELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
JORDAN NATHANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TAYLOR COMPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
TIM PATRICK JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BRYCE MORTENSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
KANEN EATONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
OAKLEY HUSSEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JACK DREWSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
9
KYLE VAN LEEUWENWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
SAWYER MERRILLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MOSESE MANUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN LAVALLEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HUNTER HILLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAYMASON WILLINGHAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSH CALVINHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
SIMON THOMPSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACKSON OWENSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CAM LAMPKINHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DOMINIC TATUMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AJANI CARTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ASHTON ADAMSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRISTIAN NASHIDAHOS★2UNR
JA'MARCUS INGRAMTEXAS TECHDBUNRUNR
DARWIN THOMPSONNFL DRAFT R6RBUNR—
AARON WADEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
OFA LATUELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JONTRELL ROCQUEMOREELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JUSTEN HERVEYELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CHASE CHRISTIANSENELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ADEWALE ADEOYEELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
DJ NELSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#90NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8091COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE