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HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
PAC-12|GARY ANDERSEN|—RECORD1-5|CONF—
UTAH STATE118 FPIPAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1170 BC / 19
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-5ACTUALvs0.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-19.7
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 0.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24ABOISE STATE—L 13-42517373-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 7-38406565-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ANEVADA—L 9-34335757-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HFRESNO STATE—L 16-35373030-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HNEW MEXICO—W 41-27211010-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HAIR FORCE—L 7-3532929-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SERET
★2—00%——
3
JASON SHELLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
JOSH CALVINQB FRRET
★3—00%——
5
COOPER LEGASQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
GARRETT LARSONQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
ELELYON NOARB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
1
JOHN GENTRYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
22
JAYLEN WARRENRB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
7
DEVONTA'E HENRY-COLERB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
PAILATE MAKAKONARB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
CHASE NELSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
ISAIAH AFATASIRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
32
BRYAN LUMSDENRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
WYATT MARXRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEVEN THOMPKINSWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
14
TIM PATRICK JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DEREK WRIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
QUINTON HADNOTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
BROC LANETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
SAVON SCARVERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
CARSON TERRELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
10
JUSTIN MCGRIFFWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JORDAN NATHANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TAYLOR COMPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
BRYCE MORTENSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
10
JUSTIN MCGRIFFWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
LOGAN LEETE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
KANEN EATONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
12
OAKLEY HUSSEYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
43
JACK DREWSTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
80
SEAN CARTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
KYLE VAN LEEUWENWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
MOSESE MANUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH STERZERTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
COOPER JONESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
LONDON ROCKWOODWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
TYRESE MACKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
GARRETT WALCHLIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHN GENTRYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
POUKESI VAKAUTAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LUKE MARIONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DAHLIN MESAKEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ELELYON NOAHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BROC LANEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JAKOB ROBINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
OTTO TIAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAIAH AFATASIHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
QUINTON HADNOTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HENRY COLOMBITEXAS TECHQB★3UNR
JORDAN LOVENFL DRAFT R1QB★3—
CHRISTOPHER UNGAELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
DALTON BAKERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
GEROLD BRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CAMERON HANEYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
BRADEN HARRISELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
DOMINIK EBERLEELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
JACOBY WILDMANELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
DJ WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#117NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8036COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST28% BACK28th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG28% BACK28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE