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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UTAH STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
PAC-12|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
UTAH STATE#24 AP 74 FPIPAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1350 BC / 7
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.9
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AWASHINGTON STATE—W 26-23565757-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNORTH DAKOTA—W 48-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18AAIR FORCE—W 49-4515959-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HBOISE STATE—L 3-27506969-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HBYU#19L 20-34326666-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AUNLV—W 28-24221212+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HCOLORADO STATE—W 26-24333333+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HHAWAI'I—W 51-31243434+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 35-13622+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 48-17263535+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HWYOMING—L 17-44134141-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ANEW MEXICO—W 35-101988+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4ASAN DIEGO STATE#25W 46-13316262-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SERET
★2—00%——
5
COOPER LEGASQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
LOGAN BONNERQB SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS STATE
★2★300%—ROSE
7
JOSH CALVINQB FRRET
★3—00%——
14
GARRETT LARSONQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET38NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
ELELYON NOARB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JOHN GENTRYRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
4
CALVIN TYLER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
PAILATE MAKAKONARB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
ROBERT BRIGGSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
IZZY GORDONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEVEN THOMPKINSWR JUPORTAL · UTAH STATE
★2★200%—HELD
14
TIM PATRICK JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
KYLE VAN LEEUWENWR SERET
★2—00%——
8
DEREK WRIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
PARKER BUCHANANTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
JOSH STERZERTE SERET
★2—00%——
16
BRANDON BOWLINGWR SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS STATE
★2★200%—HELD
11
SAVON SCARVERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
CARSON TERRELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
10
JUSTIN MCGRIFFWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
OTTO TIATE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
JORDAN NATHANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
JACK DREWSTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
80
SEAN CARTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
BROC LANETE SERET
★3—00%——
13
QUINTON HADNOTWR SORET
★3—00%——
18
COOPER JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
GARRETT WALCHLIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
JACKSON RIGBYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
3
NYNY DAVISWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
26
PAYTON THOMASWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
FRANKY JACOBSENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
D'ANDRE RANDOLPHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
TERRELL VAUGHNWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ENOKA MIGAOHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BO MAILEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
IKE LARSENHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
PARKER BUCHANANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NYNY DAVISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TROY DELA VEGAHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
D'ANDRE RANDOLPHHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUAZZEL WHITETCUIOL★3★3
LOGAN BONNERARKANSAS STATEQB★2★3
MAISEN KNIGHTLIBERTYOTUNR★3
BYRON VAUGHNSTEXASLB★3★3
CALVIN TYLEROREGON STATERBUNR★3
KYLE MAYBERRYKANSASCB★3★3
JAMIE NANCENEBRASKAWR★3★3
PATRICK JOYNERMIAMILBUNR★3
BRANDON BOWLINGARKANSAS STATEWR★2★2
JAHAZIEL LEEGEORGIA TECHOTUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKOB ROBINSONBYUCB★3★3
JASON SHELLEYMISSOURI STATEQB★3UNR
ERIC MUNOZKANSAS STATELBUNRUNR
TROY LEFEGED JR.TEXAS STATEDBUNRUNR
JAYLEN WARRENOKLAHOMA STATERB★2★3
ELIJAH SHELTONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
JARED REEDELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
JUSTUS TE'IELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
DEVONTA'E HENRY-COLEELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
BRANDON PADAELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#135NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 7 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8154COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1014 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR41%41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE