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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DANA DIMEL|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
UTEP130 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-15.1
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNORTHERN ARIZONA—L 10-30————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AUNLV—L 24-52311919-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ATENNESSEE—L 0-24906464-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 20-27855-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AUTSA—L 21-303222-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HNORTH TEXAS—L 24-27235050-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ALOUISIANA TECH—L 24-31452828-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HUAB—L 0-19284343-43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ARICE—W 34-262411-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 32-48343030-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 16-40191414-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HSOUTHERN MISS—L 7-39272929-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET46NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KAI LOCKSLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BRANDON JONESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
RYAN METZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ISAIAH BRAVOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
GAVIN HARDISONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
ALEX FERNANDESQB —RET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET68NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
QUARDRAIZ WADLEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
31
JAMES TUPOUFB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
TREYVON HUGHESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
WINSTON DIMELFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JOSH FIELDSRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
FOREST MCKEEFB SERET
★2—00%——
22
RONALD AWATTRB SERET
★2—00%——
48
ROBERT PUFAHLFB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
TK POWELLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
REYNALDO FLORESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
JONATHAN MILLANFB —RET
UNR—00%——
27
KRISTON DAVISRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
EDDIE SINEGALWR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
KAVIKA JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ALAN BUSEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
TRE'SHON WOLFWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
DAVID LUCEROTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JOSH WEEKSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
2
TERRY JUNIELWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
WARREN REDIXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
KEYNAN FOSTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
ERIK BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
RICHIE RODRIGUEZWR JURET
★2—00%——
26
WALTER DAWN JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
TRENT THOMPSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
MARK TORREZWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
JUSTIN GARRETTWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
CAMRYN CURTIS DOZIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
MILES BANKSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
RASHAD BEECHAMTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
82
ERIN PORTILLOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
ANDREW NWACHUKWUWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
JORGE HERNANDEZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDREW NWACHUKWUHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RAY WALTERSHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
RYAN WARRENHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
CAMERON COOPERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
SOLOMON POLKHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
CAL WALLERSTEDTHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
JENSON MISAALEFUAHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
SHELDON BENSONHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
PRAISE AMAEWHULEHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
NATHAN LOGOLEOHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVIN DOVETEXAS SOUTHERNRB★2UNR
DANTE LOVILOTTENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JULIAN JACKSONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JESSE MONTGOMERYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DEVIN COCKRELLNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRANDON MOSSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
LOGAN TULEY-TILLMANNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
ALVIN JONESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ZACK GREENLEENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JOHNNY JONESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7648COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR46%46th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE