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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DANA DIMEL|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
UTEP108 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
10FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
18%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 10
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE7
PERFORMANCE7
TALENT45
CONTINUITY18
DEFENSE14
PERFORMANCE14
TALENT32
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HNORTH TEXAS—L 13-31454444-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3AOKLAHOMA—L 13-45948686-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 20-1371212+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ANEW MEXICO—L 10-271211+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HBOISE STATE—W 27-10486161-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ACHARLOTTE—W 41-35411010+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ALOUISIANA TECH—L 31-413988+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 24-21493131-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 13-24263232-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ARICE—L 30-37281212+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 40-63422+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUTSA—L 31-34466464-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB33TAL10PERF33RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
GAVIN HARDISONQB SERET
UNR—8284%+8—
7
CALVIN BROWNHOLTZQB JURET
★2—5016%+5—
14
ZACH RODRIGUEZQB JURET
UNR—00%——
10
JAKE MCNAMARAQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
CADE MCCONNELLQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB48TAL27PERF49RET99ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
REYNALDO FLORESRB SERET
UNR—9629%+18—
22
RONALD AWATTRB SERET
★2—8346%-10—
33
DEION HANKINSRB SERET
★3★37940%-19HELD
31
JAMES TUPOUFB SERET
★2—5111%——
4
TORRANCE BURGESS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR★3161%—EMERGED
20
JALEN JOSEPHRB SORET
★2—131%——
28
CARTRAVEN WALKERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—131%——
42
MICHAEL YOUNGFB SORET
★2—00%——
17
MISTER CHAVISRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE52TAL33PERF46RET66ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 31 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TYRIN SMITHWR SERET
UNR★39731%+32EMERGED
45
TRENT THOMPSONTE SERET
★2—8967%+52—
1
KELLY AKHARAIYIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★38220%-30EMERGED
13
JEREMIAH BALLARDWR JURET
★3★3597%-21HELD
87
ZACH FRYARTE SERET
UNR—5720%——
26
WALTER DAWN JR.WR SERET
UNR—525%-2—
9
JOSTEIN CLARKEWR JURET
UNR—493%——
18
MARCUS BELLONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—483%——
43
JULIAN LOPEZTE SERET
★2—417%——
80
LUKE SOTOTE SERET
UNR★2324%—EMERGED
12
JOSH FARRWR JURET
UNR—201%——
85
RASHAD BEECHAMTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★2131%—EMERGED
10
KEVIN HURLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JACOB TRIMTE SORET
UNR—00%——
23
PENNY BAKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
24
JAYLEN DAVISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
MIKE MALEWITZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
LUCAS FLORESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
KYLE MCNAMARAWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
82
LUKE SEIBTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
ZACHARY ESSIHTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
RYAN GONZALESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
EMARI WHITEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
SAMUEL MIKAELETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL69TAL49PERF69RET22n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL65TAL14PERF66RET93n=11 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB74TAL19PERF74RET82n=3 · 10 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DB36TAL60PERF36RET40n=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKE MCNAMARAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
SAM MIKAELEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TREVION MITCHELLHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
LUKE SEIBHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AMIER BOYDHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
LOGOLOGO VA'AHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
BUZZ FLABIANOHS RECRUITK★2UNR
AJ BARTONHS RECRUITOTUNRUNR
AJ BARTONHS RECRUITOTUNRUNR
MICHAEL WHITAKERHS RECRUITRBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB COWINGARIZONAWR★2UNR
QUARDRAIZ WADLEYELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
DARTA LEEELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
FOREST MCKEEELIGIBILITY UPFB★2—
JOSH ORTEGAELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
JUSTIN GARRETTELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JOSH CALDWELLELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ISAIAH BRAVOELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
DY'VONNE INYANGELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
WALTER NEIL JR.ELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8023COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST40%40th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE