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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|SCOTTY WALDEN|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
UTEP129 FPIMWC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
12FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
39%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
55%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#830 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs2.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.8
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT28
CONTINUITY39
DEFENSE15
PERFORMANCE15
TALENT41
CONTINUITY55
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ANEBRASKA—L 7-40846666-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSOUTHERN UTAH—L 24-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ALIBERTY—L 10-28374747-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ACOLORADO STATE—L 17-27303030-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 3HSAM HOUSTON—L 21-41182727-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 17-44234242-39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 16HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 30-21201717-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 22ALOUISIANA TECH—L 10-14261818-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 13-201922+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HKENNESAW STATE—W 43-35522+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ATENNESSEE#9L 0-56889494-91BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 42-35777-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB50TAL35PERF50RET19ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SKYLER LOCKLEARQB SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
UNR★37665%+14EMERGED
11
CADE MCCONNELLQB SERET
★3—5919%+28—
19
JP PICKLESQB FRTRUE FR
★3★35516%-23HELD
16
MICHAEL SOUTHERNQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
ZACH RODRIGUEZQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB31TAL16PERF31RET14ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JEVON JACKSONRB SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
★3★39570%-35HELD
8
KAM THOMASRB SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
UNR★38419%+19EMERGED
22
EZELL JOLLYRB SERET
★3★36721%-51HELD
28
JOSHUA DYERB JURET
UNR★3303%—EMERGED
20
ASHTEN EMORYRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3202%—HELD
21
MARQUEZ TAYLORRB SOPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
★3★300%—HELD
34
XAVIER JOHNSONRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE32TAL39PERF39RET35ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
TREY GOODMANWR SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
UNR★39427%-18EMERGED
18
KENNY ODOMWR SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
UNR★39325%+27EMERGED
88
MARCUS VINSONTE SERET
★3★38667%+12HELD
8
EMARI WHITEWR JURET
UNR—6911%-46—
3
JADEN SMITHWR SEPORTAL · EASTERN KENTUCKY
★3★36910%-21HELD
0
ASHTON NICKELBERRYWR SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
UNR★3606%-54EMERGED
13
MARTAVIOUS COLLINSTE FRTRUE FR
★3★34812%—HELD
82
JUDAH EZINWATE SERET
UNR—449%——
81
LUKA MATAMOROSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—449%——
2
JAVONI GARDEREWR SORET
UNR—231%——
43
JULIAN LOPEZTE SERET
★2—192%-44—
7
WONDAME DAVIS JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
86
LUCAS FLORESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
10
KEVIN HURLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
LUKE SEIBWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
35
ZACHARY ESSIHTE SORET
UNR—00%——
27
MILES MCWHORTERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
CADEN HARRISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
JOSH SCHUCHTSWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
18
RAFEALD CAMPBELLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
MARCUS TORRESWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
XAVIER PHIPPSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL33TAL19PERF33RET54n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL52TAL46PERF52RET58n=10 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB56TAL30PERF56RET66n=6 · 11 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB43TAL46PERF43RET45n=11 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLIN JONESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MARTAVIOUS COLLINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRANDON JONESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
STRATTON SHUFELTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SHAY SMITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ELIJAH BALDWINHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ASHTON COKERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
EKOW TAYLORHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KYRAN DUHONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WONDAME DAVIS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JADEN SMITHEASTERN KENTUCKYWR★3★3
KORY CHAPMANAUSTIN PEAYCBUNR★3
XAVIER SMITHAUSTIN PEAYS★3★3
CALVIN HILLTEXAS STATERB★3★3
JEVON JACKSONAUSTIN PEAYRB★3★3
TREY GOODMANAUSTIN PEAYWRUNR★3
DYLAN BROWN-TURNERFLORIDA STATELB★3★3
DEVIN GOREEMISSOURI STATEEDGE★3★3
DORIAN HOPKINSTULSALB★3★3
DILLION WILLIAMSNORTH TEXASS★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT43 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN MAYERSCOLORADOOL★2★3
JAMES NEALTEXAS STATELBUNR★3
TOREY RICHARDSONTEMPLECB★2★3
KOBE HYLTONOKLAHOMA STATESUNR★3
KELLY AKHARAIYIMISSISSIPPI STATEWRUNR★3
JEREMIAH BALLARDTULSAWR★3★3
STEVEN HUBBARDVANDERBILTOLUNR★3
ALUMA NKELEMINNESOTAOLUNR★3
MCKEL BROUSSARDEASTERN WASHINGTONS★3★3
DEION HANKINSTEXAS STATERB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES84%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS87%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#83NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8227COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2738 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
25TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
4
8
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +6 W
IMPROVED12 OF 25
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR54%54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST45%45th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE