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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF TRAYLOR|—RECORD7-4|CONF—
UTSA102 FPIAAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
40FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1050 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-4ACTUALvs6.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.5
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 12ATEXAS STATE—W 51-48271111+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HSTEPHEN F. AUSTIN—W 24-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 37-35351313+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3AUAB—L 13-21297070-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10ABYU#11L 20-27469595-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HARMY—L 16-2876060-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HLOUISIANA TECH—W 27-26422525-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 3-24454545-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HUTEP—W 52-211855+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21ASOUTHERN MISS—W 23-20342222-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HNORTH TEXAS—W 49-17362222-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LOWELL NARCISSEQB JURET
★4—00%——
13
JOSH ADKINSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
FRANK HARRISQB SERET
★3—00%——
15
JORDAN WEEKSQB SORET
★3—00%——
14
SUDDIN SAPIENQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
18
CAM PETERSQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
ZACH RANGELQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
KAEDRIC COBBSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
31
KADARI JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JULON WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
SINCERE MCCORMICKRB SORET
★3—00%——
33
B.J. DANIELSRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRENDEN BRADYRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
JUSTIN RODRIGUEZRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
LEROY WATSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
BRENNON DINGLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
ZAKHARI FRANKLINWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
2
JOSHUA CEPHUSWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
ANDREW MCGOWANWR SORET
★3—00%——
11
TYKEE OGLE-KELLOGGWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
PETER GRAYTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
GAVIN SHARPTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
OSCAR CARDENASTE SERET
★3—00%——
1
DE'CORIAN CLARKWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
SHELDON JONESWR JURET
★3—00%——
37
MYLES BENNINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
41
ANDREW ACOSTATE JURET
UNR—00%——
22
JABARI AIKENWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
CADE STOEVERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
45
KE'CHAWN COMPTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ALLEN HORACE IITE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
JORDAN SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
DAN DISHMANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
ISAIAH DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
GREGORY CLAYTON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
JAREN RANDLEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
KYLE EAVESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
JAKE BRANDTTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
47
DEDRICK WILSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALLEN HORACEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ISAIAH DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ASYRUS SIMONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JE'VAUN DABONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WALKER BATYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JAMAL LIGONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MONTE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
KAEDRIC COBBSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
XAVIER SPENCERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLON LOTTHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARL AUSTIN IIIELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
ANDREW MARTELELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BLAZE MOORHEADELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KING NEWTONELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
BAYLEN BAKERELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
CLAYTON JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CASSIUS GRADYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
GRANT MERKAELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
LADARIAN MCFARLANDELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ERIC BANKSELIGIBILITY UPDE★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#105NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8304COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST90% BACK90th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG90% BACK90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE